United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, backed by administrative resources and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, underpins trader expectations for a substantial seat haul in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent polls from VCIOM and FOM place its support between 33% and 43%, down from 2021 levels yet still sufficient for a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats when paired with systemic opposition fragmentation. Preparations, including Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list and emphasis on wartime stability, reinforce continuity, while variables such as turnout mobilization, electronic voting expansion, and modest gains by parties like the CPRF or New People create the narrow spread across 310–354 seat ranges. No single recent development has produced decisive separation, leaving probabilities clustered as campaign dynamics and regional outcomes unfold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено340–354 32%
310–324 24.3%
355+ 20%
295–309 17.5%
$24,534 Обс.
$24,534 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
8%
280–294
8%
295–309
18%
310–324
24%
325–339
17%
340–354
32%
355+
20%
340–354 32%
310–324 24.3%
355+ 20%
295–309 17.5%
$24,534 Обс.
$24,534 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
<280
$6,278 Обс.
8%
280–294
$2,828 Обс.
8%
295–309
$1,601 Обс.
18%
310–324
$1,426 Обс.
24%
325–339
$1,963 Обс.
17%
340–354
$1,499 Обс.
32%
355+
$8,939 Обс.
20%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, backed by administrative resources and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, underpins trader expectations for a substantial seat haul in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent polls from VCIOM and FOM place its support between 33% and 43%, down from 2021 levels yet still sufficient for a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats when paired with systemic opposition fragmentation. Preparations, including Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list and emphasis on wartime stability, reinforce continuity, while variables such as turnout mobilization, electronic voting expansion, and modest gains by parties like the CPRF or New People create the narrow spread across 310–354 seat ranges. No single recent development has produced decisive separation, leaving probabilities clustered as campaign dynamics and regional outcomes unfold.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$24,534Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, backed by administrative resources and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, underpins trader expectations for a substantial seat haul in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent polls from VCIOM and FOM place its support between 33% and 43%, down from 2021 levels yet still sufficient for a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats when paired with systemic opposition fragmentation. Preparations, including Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list and emphasis on wartime stability, reinforce continuity, while variables such as turnout mobilization, electronic voting expansion, and modest gains by parties like the CPRF or New People create the narrow spread across 310–354 seat ranges. No single recent development has produced decisive separation, leaving probabilities clustered as campaign dynamics and regional outcomes unfold.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$24,534Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's entrenched position as Russia's ruling party, backed by administrative resources and dominance in single-mandate districts under the mixed electoral system, underpins trader expectations for a substantial seat haul in the September 2026 State Duma election. Recent polls from VCIOM and FOM place its support between 33% and 43%, down from 2021 levels yet still sufficient for a constitutional majority exceeding 300 seats when paired with systemic opposition fragmentation. Preparations, including Dmitry Medvedev heading the party list and emphasis on wartime stability, reinforce continuity, while variables such as turnout mobilization, electronic voting expansion, and modest gains by parties like the CPRF or New People create the narrow spread across 310–354 seat ranges. No single recent development has produced decisive separation, leaving probabilities clustered as campaign dynamics and regional outcomes unfold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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