United Russia’s dominant position in Russia’s mixed electoral system, combining party-list proportional representation with single-member districts, underpins the trader consensus favoring 340–354 seats. Preliminary Central Election Commission data after the September 18–20 vote show the party at roughly 57% on the list ballot and leading in the large majority of constituencies, consistent with its 2021 result of 324 seats and expectations of a constitutional majority. Limited opposition participation, administrative mobilization, and inclusion of wartime candidates have reinforced this outcome. Final seat allocation depends on full protocol processing and turnout distribution, with modest upside risk to 355+ if district margins hold or improve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUnited Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
United Russia seats in the next Russian legislative election?
340–354 73%
355+ 20.2%
325–339 1.6%
310–324 1.0%
$1,938,810 Обс.
$1,938,810 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
<280
<1%
280–294
<1%
295–309
<1%
310–324
1%
325–339
2%
340–354
73%
355+
20%
340–354 73%
355+ 20.2%
325–339 1.6%
310–324 1.0%
$1,938,810 Обс.
$1,938,810 Обс.
Sep 19, 2026
<280
$638,385 Обс.
<1%
280–294
$266,267 Обс.
<1%
295–309
$173,619 Обс.
<1%
310–324
$204,012 Обс.
1%
325–339
$217,716 Обс.
2%
340–354
$241,183 Обс.
73%
355+
$197,629 Обс.
20%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s dominant position in Russia’s mixed electoral system, combining party-list proportional representation with single-member districts, underpins the trader consensus favoring 340–354 seats. Preliminary Central Election Commission data after the September 18–20 vote show the party at roughly 57% on the list ballot and leading in the large majority of constituencies, consistent with its 2021 result of 324 seats and expectations of a constitutional majority. Limited opposition participation, administrative mobilization, and inclusion of wartime candidates have reinforced this outcome. Final seat allocation depends on full protocol processing and turnout distribution, with modest upside risk to 355+ if district margins hold or improve.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Обсяг
$1,938,810Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia’s dominant position in Russia’s mixed electoral system, combining party-list proportional representation with single-member districts, underpins the trader consensus favoring 340–354 seats. Preliminary Central Election Commission data after the September 18–20 vote show the party at roughly 57% on the list ballot and leading in the large majority of constituencies, consistent with its 2021 result of 324 seats and expectations of a constitutional majority. Limited opposition participation, administrative mobilization, and inclusion of wartime candidates have reinforced this outcome. Final seat allocation depends on full protocol processing and turnout distribution, with modest upside risk to 355+ if district margins hold or improve.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$1,938,810Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia’s dominant position in Russia’s mixed electoral system, combining party-list proportional representation with single-member districts, underpins the trader consensus favoring 340–354 seats. Preliminary Central Election Commission data after the September 18–20 vote show the party at roughly 57% on the list ballot and leading in the large majority of constituencies, consistent with its 2021 result of 324 seats and expectations of a constitutional majority. Limited opposition participation, administrative mobilization, and inclusion of wartime candidates have reinforced this outcome. Final seat allocation depends on full protocol processing and turnout distribution, with modest upside risk to 355+ if district margins hold or improve.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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