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Політика·Канада

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Toronto Mayoral Election Winner
Політика·Канада

Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

Olivia Chow 79%

Brad Bradford 20%

Ana Bailão 2.0%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$30,156 Обс.

Olivia Chow 79%

Brad Bradford 20%

Ana Bailão 2.0%

Kevin Clarke <1%

Polymarket

$30,156 Обс.

icon for Olivia Chow

Olivia Chow

$7,293 Обс.

79%

icon for Brad Bradford

Brad Bradford

$8,943 Обс.

20%

icon for Ana Bailão

Ana Bailão

$3,277 Обс.

2%

icon for Kevin Clarke

Kevin Clarke

$1,924 Обс.

1%

icon for Anthony Furey

Anthony Furey

$2,169 Обс.

<1%

icon for Michael Ford

Michael Ford

$2,084 Обс.

<1%

icon for Marco Mendicino

Marco Mendicino

$2,931 Обс.

<1%

icon for John Tory

John Tory

$1,536 Обс.

<1%

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, driven by a fresh Liaison Strategies poll released today showing her at 50% support among decided voters—up from prior surveys like April's 46% edge over challenger Brad Bradford. Bradford, a city councillor and 2023 runner-up, holds second at 19.5% on Polymarket amid his official candidacy filing on May 1, reflecting his consistent polling in the mid-30s as the primary alternative. Nominations opened recently and close August 21, with Chow yet to declare but bolstered by incumbency advantage from her 2023 by-election win; others like Ana Bailão trail due to a fragmented field. Upcoming debates and voter turnout in key wards could shift dynamics.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Обсяг
$30,156
Дата завершення
Oct 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.Incumbent Mayor Olivia Chow commands trader consensus at 78.5% implied probability for the October 26, 2026 Toronto mayoral election, driven by a fresh Liaison Strategies poll released today showing her at 50% support among decided voters—up from prior surveys like April's 46% edge over challenger Brad Bradford. Bradford, a city councillor and 2023 runner-up, holds second at 19.5% on Polymarket amid his official candidacy filing on May 1, reflecting his consistent polling in the mid-30s as the primary alternative. Nominations opened recently and close August 21, with Chow yet to declare but bolstered by incumbency advantage from her 2023 by-election win; others like Ana Bailão trail due to a fragmented field. Upcoming debates and voter turnout in key wards could shift dynamics.

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Обсяг
$30,156
Дата завершення
Oct 26, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Toronto Mayoral Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 8 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Olivia Chow» з 79%, далі «Brad Bradford» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Toronto Mayoral Election Winner» згенерував $30.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Apr 1, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Toronto Mayoral Election Winner», перегляньте 8 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Toronto Mayoral Election Winner» — «Olivia Chow» з 79%. Наступний — «Brad Bradford» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Toronto Mayoral Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.