California voters face a November 2026 ballot initiative that would impose a one-time 5 percent wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion, with proceeds directed toward healthcare programs. Supporters submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April, exceeding the threshold needed for qualification pending verification. However, the measure faces coordinated opposition from Governor Newsom, business groups, and competing ballot initiatives designed to block or dilute the tax. Federal lawmakers have also advanced legislation to prevent retroactive application on former residents. These factors, combined with concerns over capital flight and constitutional challenges, have shaped trader consensus that the proposal is unlikely to secure majority approval.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
$3,280,983 Обс.
$3,280,983 Обс.
Так
$3,280,983 Обс.
$3,280,983 Обс.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 24, 2025, 3:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any proposition containing a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent) passes in the named election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If no qualifying ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot as a proposition to be voted on in the stated election by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved), or if all qualifying propositions/initiatives are removed from the ballot or amended before the election such that the main threshold drops below $1 billion, this market will resolve "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the State of California, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...California voters face a November 2026 ballot initiative that would impose a one-time 5 percent wealth tax on residents with net worth above $1 billion, with proceeds directed toward healthcare programs. Supporters submitted more than 1.5 million signatures in late April, exceeding the threshold needed for qualification pending verification. However, the measure faces coordinated opposition from Governor Newsom, business groups, and competing ballot initiatives designed to block or dilute the tax. Federal lawmakers have also advanced legislation to prevent retroactive application on former residents. These factors, combined with concerns over capital flight and constitutional challenges, have shaped trader consensus that the proposal is unlikely to secure majority approval.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання