Skip to main content
icon for Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner

icon for Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner

Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner

Julia Letlow 92.7%

Bill Cassidy 4.7%

John Fleming 3.5%

Polymarket

$11,224 Обс.

Julia Letlow 92.7%

Bill Cassidy 4.7%

John Fleming 3.5%

Polymarket

$11,224 Обс.

Julia Letlow

$3,908 Обс.

93%

Bill Cassidy

$3,799 Обс.

5%

John Fleming

$3,517 Обс.

4%

The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.President Donald Trump's January endorsement of Rep. Julia Letlow has consolidated support among Louisiana Republican primary voters seeking to replace incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy, whose prior impeachment vote against Trump and policy differences created lasting friction within the party. Letlow's strong fundraising, active campaigning, and positioning as the president's preferred candidate have narrowed the field after most other challengers withdrew, leaving state Treasurer John Fleming as the main remaining rival despite his self-funded efforts. With the May 16 jungle primary likely to advance the top two finishers to a June runoff absent a majority, traders view Letlow's lead as reflecting clear voter preference for Trump alignment. A late Fleming surge driven by turnout shifts or regional pockets of support remains the primary scenario that could alter the first-round outcome.

The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$11,224
Дата завершення
May 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.President Donald Trump's January endorsement of Rep. Julia Letlow has consolidated support among Louisiana Republican primary voters seeking to replace incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy, whose prior impeachment vote against Trump and policy differences created lasting friction within the party. Letlow's strong fundraising, active campaigning, and positioning as the president's preferred candidate have narrowed the field after most other challengers withdrew, leaving state Treasurer John Fleming as the main remaining rival despite his self-funded efforts. With the May 16 jungle primary likely to advance the top two finishers to a June runoff absent a majority, traders view Letlow's lead as reflecting clear voter preference for Trump alignment. A late Fleming surge driven by turnout shifts or regional pockets of support remains the primary scenario that could alter the first-round outcome.

The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Обсяг
$11,224
Дата завершення
May 16, 2026
Ринок відкрито
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET
The Louisiana Republican Senate Primary is currently scheduled to be held on May 16, 2026, with a runoff on June 27 if no candidate wins a majority in the primary. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If no 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Louisiana Republican Party; however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Julia Letlow» з 93%, далі «Bill Cassidy» з 5%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner» згенерував $11.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку May 15, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner» — «Julia Letlow» з 93%. Наступний — «Bill Cassidy» з 5%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Louisiana Republican Senate Primary First Round Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.