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Політика·Первинні

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for AL-01 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jerry Carl 72%

Rhett Marques 8%

Austin Sidwell 3.3%

James Dees 2.4%

Polymarket

$40,572 Обс.

Jerry Carl 72%

Rhett Marques 8%

Austin Sidwell 3.3%

James Dees 2.4%

Polymarket

$40,572 Обс.

Jerry Carl

$1,208 Обс.

68%

Rhett Marques

$297 Обс.

18%

Austin Sidwell

$13,603 Обс.

3%

James Dees

$4,297 Обс.

2%

James Richardson

$5,651 Обс.

2%

Joshua McKee

$174 Обс.

2%

John Mills

$15,342 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability to win the AL-01 Republican primary nomination following State Rep. Rhett Marques' announcement on May 12 to switch to the AL-02 race amid a Supreme Court ruling enabling reversion to pre-2023 congressional maps. This development, prompting Gov. Kay Ivey to call a special primary for Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7 on August 11 after nullifying May 19 results, has cleared Carl's path by sidelining his top challenger and Joshua McKee, who also shifted districts. Carl's name recognition from prior AL-01 service, Q1 fundraising edge, and April polls showing him ahead in a fragmented seven-candidate field—despite tightening races—bolster his position, with Austin Sidwell at 4% next amid re-qualification from May 20-22.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$40,572
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl leads trader consensus at 68% implied probability to win the AL-01 Republican primary nomination following State Rep. Rhett Marques' announcement on May 12 to switch to the AL-02 race amid a Supreme Court ruling enabling reversion to pre-2023 congressional maps. This development, prompting Gov. Kay Ivey to call a special primary for Districts 1, 2, 6, and 7 on August 11 after nullifying May 19 results, has cleared Carl's path by sidelining his top challenger and Joshua McKee, who also shifted districts. Carl's name recognition from prior AL-01 service, Q1 fundraising edge, and April polls showing him ahead in a fragmented seven-candidate field—despite tightening races—bolster his position, with Austin Sidwell at 4% next amid re-qualification from May 20-22.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$40,572
Дата завершення
May 19, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«AL-01 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 7 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jerry Carl» з 68%, далі «Rhett Marques» з 18%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «AL-01 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $40.6K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 26, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «AL-01 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 7 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «AL-01 Republican Primary Winner» — «Jerry Carl» з 68%. Наступний — «Rhett Marques» з 18%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «AL-01 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.