Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination in Oklahoma’s August 25 gubernatorial primary runoff by a narrow margin of roughly 2,000 votes out of more than 371,000 cast, producing a victory under 1 percentage point. Trader consensus on a Mazzei margin below 5 percent reflects the race’s sustained closeness after Drummond edged the first-round primary, combined with late Trump endorsement momentum, heavy Mazzei self-funding exceeding $11 million, and Club for Growth advertising that offset Drummond’s own spending and name recognition as attorney general. Endorsements from Gov. Stitt and Sen. Mullin further consolidated support in a low-turnout contest where polling consistently showed the candidates statistically tied. Final certification or any administrative adjustments remain the primary variables that could alter the precise recorded margin without changing the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMazzei <5% 100.0%
Mazzei 20–25% 47.9%
Drummond 20–25% 45.9%
Drummond 25%+ <1%
$2,326 Обс.
$2,326 Обс.

Drummond 25%+
<1%

Drummond 20–25%
46%

Drummond 15–20%
<1%

Drummond 10–15%
-

Drummond 5–10%
<1%

Drummond <5%
<1%

Mazzei <5%
100%

Mazzei 5–10%
<1%

Mazzei 10–15%
<1%

Mazzei 15–20%
<1%

Mazzei 20–25%
48%

Mazzei 25%+
<1%
Mazzei <5% 100.0%
Mazzei 20–25% 47.9%
Drummond 20–25% 45.9%
Drummond 25%+ <1%
$2,326 Обс.
$2,326 Обс.

Drummond 25%+
<1%

Drummond 20–25%
46%

Drummond 15–20%
<1%

Drummond 10–15%
-

Drummond 5–10%
<1%

Drummond <5%
<1%

Mazzei <5%
100%

Mazzei 5–10%
<1%

Mazzei 10–15%
<1%

Mazzei 15–20%
<1%

Mazzei 20–25%
48%

Mazzei 25%+
<1%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination in Oklahoma’s August 25 gubernatorial primary runoff by a narrow margin of roughly 2,000 votes out of more than 371,000 cast, producing a victory under 1 percentage point. Trader consensus on a Mazzei margin below 5 percent reflects the race’s sustained closeness after Drummond edged the first-round primary, combined with late Trump endorsement momentum, heavy Mazzei self-funding exceeding $11 million, and Club for Growth advertising that offset Drummond’s own spending and name recognition as attorney general. Endorsements from Gov. Stitt and Sen. Mullin further consolidated support in a low-turnout contest where polling consistently showed the candidates statistically tied. Final certification or any administrative adjustments remain the primary variables that could alter the precise recorded margin without changing the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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