**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in several Montreal-area ridings, including safe or competitive seats such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques.** Recent seat projections from 338Canada place the party at 5 seats on average (range 2–10) despite a provincial vote share near 9–10 percent, reflecting efficient distribution among francophone and progressive voters. Incumbent MNAs and historical performance in urban strongholds provide a structural floor that has held through the current campaign period. The October 5, 2026 election remains weeks away, but polling averages and riding-level modeling show no scenario in which QS drops below one seat. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for “Yes” aligns with this evidence of entrenched regional support and the absence of developments that would eliminate the party’s viability in its core districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено94% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
94% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 5, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in several Montreal-area ridings, including safe or competitive seats such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques.**
Recent seat projections from 338Canada place the party at 5 seats on average (range 2–10) despite a provincial vote share near 9–10 percent, reflecting efficient distribution among francophone and progressive voters. Incumbent MNAs and historical performance in urban strongholds provide a structural floor that has held through the current campaign period. The October 5, 2026 election remains weeks away, but polling averages and riding-level modeling show no scenario in which QS drops below one seat. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for “Yes” aligns with this evidence of entrenched regional support and the absence of developments that would eliminate the party’s viability in its core districts.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$278Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in several Montreal-area ridings, including safe or competitive seats such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques.**
Recent seat projections from 338Canada place the party at 5 seats on average (range 2–10) despite a provincial vote share near 9–10 percent, reflecting efficient distribution among francophone and progressive voters. Incumbent MNAs and historical performance in urban strongholds provide a structural floor that has held through the current campaign period. The October 5, 2026 election remains weeks away, but polling averages and riding-level modeling show no scenario in which QS drops below one seat. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for “Yes” aligns with this evidence of entrenched regional support and the absence of developments that would eliminate the party’s viability in its core districts.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Québec solidaire (QS) wins at least one seat in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$278Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:14 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Québec Solidaire maintains concentrated support in several Montreal-area ridings, including safe or competitive seats such as Gouin, Mercier, and Sainte-Marie–Saint-Jacques.** Recent seat projections from 338Canada place the party at 5 seats on average (range 2–10) despite a provincial vote share near 9–10 percent, reflecting efficient distribution among francophone and progressive voters. Incumbent MNAs and historical performance in urban strongholds provide a structural floor that has held through the current campaign period. The October 5, 2026 election remains weeks away, but polling averages and riding-level modeling show no scenario in which QS drops below one seat. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for “Yes” aligns with this evidence of entrenched regional support and the absence of developments that would eliminate the party’s viability in its core districts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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