Chris Pappas's commanding 92% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from his incumbency as U.S. Representative for NH-01, superior fundraising revealed in April 2026 reports showing a cash advantage, and strong endorsements including NEA-New Hampshire and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear. A late-April UNH Survey Center poll gave him 61% support among likely primary voters versus 18% for Karishma Manzur, with 18% undecided, reflecting his establishment backing in the open-seat race following Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's 2025 retirement announcement. Trader consensus underscores low risk of upset ahead of the September 8 primary, though late entrant, scandal, or progressive surge could challenge this path to nomination.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$12,678 Обс.
$12,678 Обс.
Chris Pappas
92%
Karishma Manzur
4%
$12,678 Обс.
$12,678 Обс.
Chris Pappas
92%
Karishma Manzur
4%
If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 26, 2025, 5:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Chris Pappas's commanding 92% implied probability in the New Hampshire Democratic U.S. Senate primary stems from his incumbency as U.S. Representative for NH-01, superior fundraising revealed in April 2026 reports showing a cash advantage, and strong endorsements including NEA-New Hampshire and Kentucky Gov. Andy Beshear. A late-April UNH Survey Center poll gave him 61% support among likely primary voters versus 18% for Karishma Manzur, with 18% undecided, reflecting his establishment backing in the open-seat race following Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's 2025 retirement announcement. Trader consensus underscores low risk of upset ahead of the September 8 primary, though late entrant, scandal, or progressive surge could challenge this path to nomination.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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