**The GA-11 race features Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden and independent Natalie Richoz in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Barry Loudermilk’s February 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the Republican primary runoff on June 16 produced Cowan as nominee after he secured roughly two-thirds of the vote. The Democratic primary delivered Chris Harden outright in May. Georgia’s majority-vote rule triggers a runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s R+12 partisan voting index, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure make a decisive Republican margin the dominant scenario priced by traders. No major polling shifts, scandals, or late developments have emerged since the primaries to alter that assessment. The 94.5 percent implied probability for an outright winner therefore reflects the district’s structural Republican advantage and the absence of conditions likely to force a December runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFirst Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?
First Round Outright Winner in the GA-11 House Election?
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НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
0% шанс
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.**The GA-11 race features Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden and independent Natalie Richoz in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Barry Loudermilk’s February 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the Republican primary runoff on June 16 produced Cowan as nominee after he secured roughly two-thirds of the vote. The Democratic primary delivered Chris Harden outright in May.
Georgia’s majority-vote rule triggers a runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s R+12 partisan voting index, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure make a decisive Republican margin the dominant scenario priced by traders. No major polling shifts, scandals, or late developments have emerged since the primaries to alter that assessment. The 94.5 percent implied probability for an outright winner therefore reflects the district’s structural Republican advantage and the absence of conditions likely to force a December runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$373Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.**The GA-11 race features Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden and independent Natalie Richoz in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Barry Loudermilk’s February 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the Republican primary runoff on June 16 produced Cowan as nominee after he secured roughly two-thirds of the vote. The Democratic primary delivered Chris Harden outright in May.
Georgia’s majority-vote rule triggers a runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s R+12 partisan voting index, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure make a decisive Republican margin the dominant scenario priced by traders. No major polling shifts, scandals, or late developments have emerged since the primaries to alter that assessment. The 94.5 percent implied probability for an outright winner therefore reflects the district’s structural Republican advantage and the absence of conditions likely to force a December runoff.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-11 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-11 House election.
Обсяг
$373Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**The GA-11 race features Republican nominee John Cowan facing Democrat Chris Harden and independent Natalie Richoz in the November 3, 2026 general election.** Barry Loudermilk’s February 2026 retirement opened the seat, but the Republican primary runoff on June 16 produced Cowan as nominee after he secured roughly two-thirds of the vote. The Democratic primary delivered Chris Harden outright in May. Georgia’s majority-vote rule triggers a runoff only if no candidate exceeds 50 percent. The district’s R+12 partisan voting index, consistent GOP performance in recent cycles, and limited Democratic infrastructure make a decisive Republican margin the dominant scenario priced by traders. No major polling shifts, scandals, or late developments have emerged since the primaries to alter that assessment. The 94.5 percent implied probability for an outright winner therefore reflects the district’s structural Republican advantage and the absence of conditions likely to force a December runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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