Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec at roughly 22-24% support ahead of the October 5 election, translating into seat projections clustered around 31 with ranges extending from the mid-20s to the mid-30s depending on vote efficiency and regional swings. Traders have priced the 28-31 seat band highest because the party’s strength remains concentrated in Montreal-area ridings while competition from the leading Parti Québécois and a declining Coalition Avenir Québec creates numerous tight three-way contests that can shift outcomes with small turnout or preference changes. Late-campaign debates and modest Liberal rebound in recent surveys have kept the range narrow, with limited scope for large upward or downward moves absent a major polling shift or regional surprise before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 25%
36-39 6.3%
$25,053 Обс.
$25,053 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
<28
27%
28-31
35%
32-35
25%
36-39
6%
40-43
2%
44+
1%
28-31 35%
<28 27%
32-35 25%
36-39 6.3%
$25,053 Обс.
$25,053 Обс.
Oct 5, 2026
<28
$4,646 Обс.
27%
28-31
$5,039 Обс.
35%
32-35
$7,007 Обс.
25%
36-39
$5,508 Обс.
6%
40-43
$1,501 Обс.
2%
44+
$1,351 Обс.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec at roughly 22-24% support ahead of the October 5 election, translating into seat projections clustered around 31 with ranges extending from the mid-20s to the mid-30s depending on vote efficiency and regional swings. Traders have priced the 28-31 seat band highest because the party’s strength remains concentrated in Montreal-area ridings while competition from the leading Parti Québécois and a declining Coalition Avenir Québec creates numerous tight three-way contests that can shift outcomes with small turnout or preference changes. Late-campaign debates and modest Liberal rebound in recent surveys have kept the range narrow, with limited scope for large upward or downward moves absent a major polling shift or regional surprise before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$25,053Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec at roughly 22-24% support ahead of the October 5 election, translating into seat projections clustered around 31 with ranges extending from the mid-20s to the mid-30s depending on vote efficiency and regional swings. Traders have priced the 28-31 seat band highest because the party’s strength remains concentrated in Montreal-area ridings while competition from the leading Parti Québécois and a declining Coalition Avenir Québec creates numerous tight three-way contests that can shift outcomes with small turnout or preference changes. Late-campaign debates and modest Liberal rebound in recent surveys have kept the range narrow, with limited scope for large upward or downward moves absent a major polling shift or regional surprise before election day.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Parti libéral du Québec (PLQ) in the National Assembly of Quebec as a result of this election.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by candidates whose political affiliation is listed as the specified party in the official election results, not any coalition or parliamentary group of which the party may be part. Seats won by candidates listed under any other affiliation will not be counted, regardless of any endorsement or association with the specified party. Any post-election change in seat ownership or party affiliation, including floor crossings, resignations, or by-elections, will not be considered.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Élections Québec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca).
Обсяг
$25,053Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 27, 2026, 8:15 AM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.caВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place the Parti Libéral du Québec at roughly 22-24% support ahead of the October 5 election, translating into seat projections clustered around 31 with ranges extending from the mid-20s to the mid-30s depending on vote efficiency and regional swings. Traders have priced the 28-31 seat band highest because the party’s strength remains concentrated in Montreal-area ridings while competition from the leading Parti Québécois and a declining Coalition Avenir Québec creates numerous tight three-way contests that can shift outcomes with small turnout or preference changes. Late-campaign debates and modest Liberal rebound in recent surveys have kept the range narrow, with limited scope for large upward or downward moves absent a major polling shift or regional surprise before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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