AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent state-level polling for the September 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election, with support near 35-37 percent across multiple surveys conducted since January. This positioning reflects sustained gains for the party in eastern Germany amid voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD, which has fallen to the low-to-mid 20s. Other parties including the CDU, Left, and BSW remain well behind, limiting realistic paths to a plurality. The market's implied probability for an AfD win aligns with these trends and the absence of major reversals in the past month, while noting that coalition negotiations after the vote and any late polling movements could still influence final outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
AfD 86%
SPD 14%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$217,972 Обс.
$217,972 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
86%
SPD
14%
FDP
<1%
CDU
<1%
Grüne
<1%
BSW
<1%
Linke
<1%
FW
<1%
AfD 86%
SPD 14%
FDP <1%
CDU <1%
$217,972 Обс.
$217,972 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
AfD
$7,937 Обс.
86%
SPD
$37,071 Обс.
14%
FDP
$50,818 Обс.
<1%
CDU
$28,594 Обс.
<1%
Grüne
$53,394 Обс.
<1%
BSW
$12,545 Обс.
<1%
Linke
$9,060 Обс.
<1%
FW
$20,514 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent state-level polling for the September 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election, with support near 35-37 percent across multiple surveys conducted since January. This positioning reflects sustained gains for the party in eastern Germany amid voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD, which has fallen to the low-to-mid 20s. Other parties including the CDU, Left, and BSW remain well behind, limiting realistic paths to a plurality. The market's implied probability for an AfD win aligns with these trends and the absence of major reversals in the past month, while noting that coalition negotiations after the vote and any late polling movements could still influence final outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
Обсяг
$217,972Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent state-level polling for the September 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election, with support near 35-37 percent across multiple surveys conducted since January. This positioning reflects sustained gains for the party in eastern Germany amid voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD, which has fallen to the low-to-mid 20s. Other parties including the CDU, Left, and BSW remain well behind, limiting realistic paths to a plurality. The market's implied probability for an AfD win aligns with these trends and the absence of major reversals in the past month, while noting that coalition negotiations after the vote and any late polling movements could still influence final outcomes.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official Mecklenburg-Vorpommern elections page of the Landesamt für innere Verwaltung (www.laiv-mv.de/Wahlen/Landtagswahlen/2026/).
Обсяг
$217,972Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...AfD maintains a commanding lead in recent state-level polling for the September 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern election, with support near 35-37 percent across multiple surveys conducted since January. This positioning reflects sustained gains for the party in eastern Germany amid voter shifts away from the long-governing SPD, which has fallen to the low-to-mid 20s. Other parties including the CDU, Left, and BSW remain well behind, limiting realistic paths to a plurality. The market's implied probability for an AfD win aligns with these trends and the absence of major reversals in the past month, while noting that coalition negotiations after the vote and any late polling movements could still influence final outcomes.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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