Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 parliamentary elections show United Russia leading with approximately 57% of the party-list vote after partial counts, consistent with Central Election Commission data and aligning closely with the dominant 55-60% market range. The tightly managed contest featured no meaningful opposition on the national ballot, high reported turnout near 57%, and Kremlin framing of the vote as a demonstration of support for national policies. Earlier state polling projected the party in the mid-to-high 40s or low 50s, but actual tallies have exceeded those figures, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed outcome while smaller probabilities remain for modest deviations pending final certification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено55-60% 86%
60%+ 11.0%
50-55% 5%
45-50% <1%
$33,669 Обс.
$33,669 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
<1%
40-45%
<1%
45-50%
1%
50-55%
5%
55-60%
86%
60%+
11%
55-60% 86%
60%+ 11.0%
50-55% 5%
45-50% <1%
$33,669 Обс.
$33,669 Обс.
Oct 31, 2026
<40%
$146 Обс.
<1%
40-45%
$578 Обс.
<1%
45-50%
$5,432 Обс.
1%
50-55%
$8,052 Обс.
5%
55-60%
$5,426 Обс.
86%
60%+
$14,333 Обс.
11%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 parliamentary elections show United Russia leading with approximately 57% of the party-list vote after partial counts, consistent with Central Election Commission data and aligning closely with the dominant 55-60% market range. The tightly managed contest featured no meaningful opposition on the national ballot, high reported turnout near 57%, and Kremlin framing of the vote as a demonstration of support for national policies. Earlier state polling projected the party in the mid-to-high 40s or low 50s, but actual tallies have exceeded those figures, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed outcome while smaller probabilities remain for modest deviations pending final certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Ринок відкрито: Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Обсяг
$33,669Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 parliamentary elections show United Russia leading with approximately 57% of the party-list vote after partial counts, consistent with Central Election Commission data and aligning closely with the dominant 55-60% market range. The tightly managed contest featured no meaningful opposition on the national ballot, high reported turnout near 57%, and Kremlin framing of the vote as a demonstration of support for national policies. Earlier state polling projected the party in the mid-to-high 40s or low 50s, but actual tallies have exceeded those figures, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed outcome while smaller probabilities remain for modest deviations pending final certification.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the federal party-list vote won by United Russia (ER) in the 2026 Russian State Duma election.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by United Russia (ER) on the federal party-list ballot divided by the total number of valid votes cast on the federal party-list ballot. Votes cast in single-member district contests will not be counted.
Votes will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the named party. Votes attributed to another party or electoral designation will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Обсяг
$33,669Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 20, 2026, 10:14 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Russia's September 18-20 parliamentary elections show United Russia leading with approximately 57% of the party-list vote after partial counts, consistent with Central Election Commission data and aligning closely with the dominant 55-60% market range. The tightly managed contest featured no meaningful opposition on the national ballot, high reported turnout near 57%, and Kremlin framing of the vote as a demonstration of support for national policies. Earlier state polling projected the party in the mid-to-high 40s or low 50s, but actual tallies have exceeded those figures, reinforcing trader consensus around the observed outcome while smaller probabilities remain for modest deviations pending final certification.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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