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icon for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?
Політика·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

icon for Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?
Політика·UK

Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?

25-30% 32%

20-25% 26%

30-35% 25%

<20% 18%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

25-30% 32%

20-25% 26%

30-35% 25%

<20% 18%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for <20%

<20%

$349 Обс.

18%

icon for 20-25%

20-25%

$114 Обс.

26%

icon for 25-30%

25-30%

$273 Обс.

32%

icon for 30-35%

30-35%

$132 Обс.

25%

icon for 35-40%

35-40%

$113 Обс.

11%

icon for 40%+

40%+

$120 Обс.

5%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).The Green Party's recent local election performance in Camden, where it secured around 28% of the vote in May 2026 amid broader London gains, forms the main driver behind trader pricing clustered between 20% and 35%. Leader Zack Polanski's selection as candidate has added visibility and momentum, with endorsements including from former independent challenger Andrew Feinstein consolidating left-leaning support in a constituency long held by Labour. The October 8 by-election timing, Labour's choice of local council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali, and potential for split opposition votes keep projections competitive. Historical by-election swings against the governing party and ongoing national political shifts could still widen or narrow the final Green share within the resolution window.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Обсяг
$1,103
Дата завершення
Oct 8, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).The Green Party's recent local election performance in Camden, where it secured around 28% of the vote in May 2026 amid broader London gains, forms the main driver behind trader pricing clustered between 20% and 35%. Leader Zack Polanski's selection as candidate has added visibility and momentum, with endorsements including from former independent challenger Andrew Feinstein consolidating left-leaning support in a constituency long held by Labour. The October 8 by-election timing, Labour's choice of local council leader Sagal Abdi-Wali, and potential for split opposition votes keep projections competitive. Historical by-election swings against the governing party and ongoing national political shifts could still widen or narrow the final Green share within the resolution window.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election.

The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election.

Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is scheduled to be held on October 8, 2026, following the resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election. The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by the Green Party candidate divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the by-election. Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the official results attribute them to the candidate standing for the Green Party. Votes attributed to other candidates or party designations will not count, regardless of endorsements or electoral cooperation. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of this by-election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. This market will resolve based on the results of this by-election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Обсяг
$1,103
Дата завершення
Oct 8, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Sep 14, 2026, 6:50 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

icon for Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

Will the Labour Party candidate win 40-45% of the vote in the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

33%
icon for Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?

Will the Labour candidate win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election by a margin of 15% or more?

29%
icon for Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

Will Sagal Abdi-Wali win the Holborn and St Pancras by-election?

78%

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 6 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «25-30%» з 32%, далі «20-25%» з 26%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Sep 14, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

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Поточний фаворит для «Holborn and St Pancras By-Election: Green Vote Share?» — «25-30%» з 32%. Наступний — «20-25%» з 26%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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