Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp increases in global energy prices, pushing UK CPI inflation to 3.3% in March 2026 and prompting the Bank of England to revise its 2026 projections upward to around 3.3–3.7% by year-end in its base scenarios. This shift from prior expectations near 2% has elevated trader focus on upside risks, with the highest implied probability attached to a 4.5%+ annual rate amid uncertainty over sustained oil and gas shocks. Market pricing incorporates the potential for stronger second-round effects on wages and services, while upcoming CPI releases and the Bank’s June policy decision remain key catalysts that could further influence the distribution of outcomes for the full-year 2026 print.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоU.K. Annual Inflation 2026
U.K. Annual Inflation 2026
4.0-4.4% 26%
4.5%+ 23%
3.5–3.9% 22%
1.0–1.4% 4.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
5%
1.5–1.9%
3%
2.0–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.9%
11%
3.5–3.9%
22%
4.0-4.4%
26%
4.5%+
35%
4.0-4.4% 26%
4.5%+ 23%
3.5–3.9% 22%
1.0–1.4% 4.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 20, 2027
<1.0%
$802 Обс.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$330 Обс.
5%
1.5–1.9%
$483 Обс.
3%
2.0–2.4%
$305 Обс.
11%
2.5–2.9%
$385 Обс.
11%
3.5–3.9%
$525 Обс.
22%
4.0-4.4%
$420 Обс.
26%
4.5%+
$1,080 Обс.
35%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp increases in global energy prices, pushing UK CPI inflation to 3.3% in March 2026 and prompting the Bank of England to revise its 2026 projections upward to around 3.3–3.7% by year-end in its base scenarios. This shift from prior expectations near 2% has elevated trader focus on upside risks, with the highest implied probability attached to a 4.5%+ annual rate amid uncertainty over sustained oil and gas shocks. Market pricing incorporates the potential for stronger second-round effects on wages and services, while upcoming CPI releases and the Bank’s June policy decision remain key catalysts that could further influence the distribution of outcomes for the full-year 2026 print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$4,329Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp increases in global energy prices, pushing UK CPI inflation to 3.3% in March 2026 and prompting the Bank of England to revise its 2026 projections upward to around 3.3–3.7% by year-end in its base scenarios. This shift from prior expectations near 2% has elevated trader focus on upside risks, with the highest implied probability attached to a 4.5%+ annual rate amid uncertainty over sustained oil and gas shocks. Market pricing incorporates the potential for stronger second-round effects on wages and services, while upcoming CPI releases and the Bank’s June policy decision remain key catalysts that could further influence the distribution of outcomes for the full-year 2026 print.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Обсяг
$4,329Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have driven sharp increases in global energy prices, pushing UK CPI inflation to 3.3% in March 2026 and prompting the Bank of England to revise its 2026 projections upward to around 3.3–3.7% by year-end in its base scenarios. This shift from prior expectations near 2% has elevated trader focus on upside risks, with the highest implied probability attached to a 4.5%+ annual rate amid uncertainty over sustained oil and gas shocks. Market pricing incorporates the potential for stronger second-round effects on wages and services, while upcoming CPI releases and the Bank’s June policy decision remain key catalysts that could further influence the distribution of outcomes for the full-year 2026 print.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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