Recent moderation in South Korea’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in July 2026, down from 3.2% in June as transport and food pressures eased, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 2.7–2.9% annual average outcome. Official forecasts from the Bank of Korea (2.7%) and Ministry of Economy and Finance (2.6%) reflect upward revisions earlier this year driven by petroleum-product spillovers, while the central bank’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75% signals vigilance above its 2% target. Key swing factors include the pace of energy-price normalization versus persistent core pressures in housing and services, with upcoming August CPI data and any further policy signals likely to differentiate between the leading 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.4% to 2.6% 25.4%
2.1% to 2.3% 12.6%
$31,215 Обс.
$31,215 Обс.
<1.5%
2%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
13%
2.4% to 2.6%
25%
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
3.0%+
29%
2.7% to 2.9% 32.8%
3.0%+ 28.6%
2.4% to 2.6% 25.4%
2.1% to 2.3% 12.6%
$31,215 Обс.
$31,215 Обс.
<1.5%
2%
1.5% to 1.7%
2%
1.8% to 2.0%
1%
2.1% to 2.3%
13%
2.4% to 2.6%
25%
2.7% to 2.9%
33%
3.0%+
29%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent moderation in South Korea’s headline CPI to 2.8% year-over-year in July 2026, down from 3.2% in June as transport and food pressures eased, underpins the tight clustering of trader-implied odds around the 2.7–2.9% annual average outcome. Official forecasts from the Bank of Korea (2.7%) and Ministry of Economy and Finance (2.6%) reflect upward revisions earlier this year driven by petroleum-product spillovers, while the central bank’s July 25-basis-point rate hike to 2.75% signals vigilance above its 2% target. Key swing factors include the pace of energy-price normalization versus persistent core pressures in housing and services, with upcoming August CPI data and any further policy signals likely to differentiate between the leading 2.7–2.9% and 3.0%+ bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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