Recent upward revisions to South Korea’s 2026 inflation outlook stem primarily from April’s 2.6% year-over-year CPI print—the highest since July 2024—driven by elevated global oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Korea now projects headline inflation in the mid- to upper-2% range for the year, exceeding its earlier 2.2% forecast, while the IMF has lifted its estimate to 2.5%. Core inflation remains anchored near 2.2%, and traders are weighing the extent of cost pass-through against government price-stabilization measures and potential monetary-policy tightening later in 2026. With outcomes clustered tightly between 2.1% and 2.6%, near-term data on oil prices and the May CPI release represent the key swing factors that could shift market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 39.0%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 Обс.
$11,072 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
30%
2.1% to 2.3%
38%
2.4% to 2.6%
39%
2.7% to 2.9%
34%
3.0%+
30%
3.0%+ 43%
2.4% to 2.6% 39.0%
1.5% to 1.7% 8%
<1.5% 5.9%
$11,072 Обс.
$11,072 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
<1.5%
$1,136 Обс.
6%
1.5% to 1.7%
$959 Обс.
8%
1.8% to 2.0%
$108 Обс.
30%
2.1% to 2.3%
$159 Обс.
38%
2.4% to 2.6%
$145 Обс.
39%
2.7% to 2.9%
$139 Обс.
34%
3.0%+
$8,428 Обс.
30%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent upward revisions to South Korea’s 2026 inflation outlook stem primarily from April’s 2.6% year-over-year CPI print—the highest since July 2024—driven by elevated global oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Korea now projects headline inflation in the mid- to upper-2% range for the year, exceeding its earlier 2.2% forecast, while the IMF has lifted its estimate to 2.5%. Core inflation remains anchored near 2.2%, and traders are weighing the extent of cost pass-through against government price-stabilization measures and potential monetary-policy tightening later in 2026. With outcomes clustered tightly between 2.1% and 2.6%, near-term data on oil prices and the May CPI release represent the key swing factors that could shift market-implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Ринок відкрито: Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Обсяг
$11,072Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000Recent upward revisions to South Korea’s 2026 inflation outlook stem primarily from April’s 2.6% year-over-year CPI print—the highest since July 2024—driven by elevated global oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Korea now projects headline inflation in the mid- to upper-2% range for the year, exceeding its earlier 2.2% forecast, while the IMF has lifted its estimate to 2.5%. Core inflation remains anchored near 2.2%, and traders are weighing the extent of cost pass-through against government price-stabilization measures and potential monetary-policy tightening later in 2026. With outcomes clustered tightly between 2.1% and 2.6%, near-term data on oil prices and the May CPI release represent the key swing factors that could shift market-implied probabilities.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in South Korea in the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the South Korean Ministry of Data and Statistics (MODS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Обсяг
$11,072Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to South Korea’s 2026 inflation outlook stem primarily from April’s 2.6% year-over-year CPI print—the highest since July 2024—driven by elevated global oil prices amid Middle East supply disruptions. The Bank of Korea now projects headline inflation in the mid- to upper-2% range for the year, exceeding its earlier 2.2% forecast, while the IMF has lifted its estimate to 2.5%. Core inflation remains anchored near 2.2%, and traders are weighing the extent of cost pass-through against government price-stabilization measures and potential monetary-policy tightening later in 2026. With outcomes clustered tightly between 2.1% and 2.6%, near-term data on oil prices and the May CPI release represent the key swing factors that could shift market-implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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