Polymarket traders are closely split on May nonfarm payrolls, with 100k–150k jobs added implying 43% probability edging out 0–50k at 41%, reflecting mixed labor signals amid cooling dynamics. April's actual +115k nonfarm payrolls beat consensus forecasts of 65k, bolstered by ADP's +109k private hiring, yet rising initial jobless claims to 211k for the week ending May 9 and ISM manufacturing employment index falling to contractionary 46.4 signal deceleration. Unemployment held steady at 4.3%, but forward consensus hovers near 70k–110k, leaving swing factors like upcoming weekly claims and May ISM PMIs pivotal ahead of the June 6 release and FOMC rate path implications.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many jobs added in May?
How many jobs added in May?
100k – 150k 41%
150k – 200k 34%
200k+ 22%
50k – 100k 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 5, 2026
<0
13%
0 – 50k
38%
50k – 100k
17%
100k – 150k
44%
150k – 200k
34%
200k+
22%
100k – 150k 41%
150k – 200k 34%
200k+ 22%
50k – 100k 17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 5, 2026
<0
$138 Обс.
13%
0 – 50k
$70 Обс.
38%
50k – 100k
$40 Обс.
17%
100k – 150k
$63 Обс.
44%
150k – 200k
$38 Обс.
34%
200k+
$38 Обс.
22%
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmPolymarket traders are closely split on May nonfarm payrolls, with 100k–150k jobs added implying 43% probability edging out 0–50k at 41%, reflecting mixed labor signals amid cooling dynamics. April's actual +115k nonfarm payrolls beat consensus forecasts of 65k, bolstered by ADP's +109k private hiring, yet rising initial jobless claims to 211k for the week ending May 9 and ISM manufacturing employment index falling to contractionary 46.4 signal deceleration. Unemployment held steady at 4.3%, but forward consensus hovers near 70k–110k, leaving swing factors like upcoming weekly claims and May ISM PMIs pivotal ahead of the June 6 release and FOMC rate path implications.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Ринок відкрито: May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$386Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmPolymarket traders are closely split on May nonfarm payrolls, with 100k–150k jobs added implying 43% probability edging out 0–50k at 41%, reflecting mixed labor signals amid cooling dynamics. April's actual +115k nonfarm payrolls beat consensus forecasts of 65k, bolstered by ADP's +109k private hiring, yet rising initial jobless claims to 211k for the week ending May 9 and ISM manufacturing employment index falling to contractionary 46.4 signal deceleration. Unemployment held steady at 4.3%, but forward consensus hovers near 70k–110k, leaving swing factors like upcoming weekly claims and May ISM PMIs pivotal ahead of the June 6 release and FOMC rate path implications.
This market will resolve according to the change in the total nonfarm payroll employment reported by the BLS "Employment Situation Summary" for May 2026, scheduled to be released on June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Обсяг
$386Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:47 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders are closely split on May nonfarm payrolls, with 100k–150k jobs added implying 43% probability edging out 0–50k at 41%, reflecting mixed labor signals amid cooling dynamics. April's actual +115k nonfarm payrolls beat consensus forecasts of 65k, bolstered by ADP's +109k private hiring, yet rising initial jobless claims to 211k for the week ending May 9 and ISM manufacturing employment index falling to contractionary 46.4 signal deceleration. Unemployment held steady at 4.3%, but forward consensus hovers near 70k–110k, leaving swing factors like upcoming weekly claims and May ISM PMIs pivotal ahead of the June 6 release and FOMC rate path implications.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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