Recent weak euro area GDP data and downward revisions in official forecasts have positioned the 1.0-2.0% and 0-1.0% ranges as the leading market-implied outcomes for 2026 annual growth. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-over-year growth slowing to 0.8%, while the European Commission’s May Spring Forecast cut its euro-area projection to 0.9% amid energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict. IMF staff projections similarly point to 0.9% growth, citing weaker investment, consumption, and temporary supply shocks that also elevate inflation risks. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around subdued expansion near potential, with upcoming ECB projections and further Q2 data releases likely to influence sentiment around the closely contested 0-2% band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено1.0-2.0% 31%
6.0-7.0% 18.8%
0-1.0% 18.7%
<0% 11.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
11%
0-1.0%
19%
1.0-2.0%
31%
2.0-3.0%
<1%
3.0-4.0%
4%
4.0-5.0%
2%
5.0-6.0%
2%
6.0-7.0%
19%
7.0%+
3%
1.0-2.0% 31%
6.0-7.0% 18.8%
0-1.0% 18.7%
<0% 11.4%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 31, 2027
<0%
$885 Обс.
11%
0-1.0%
$709 Обс.
19%
1.0-2.0%
$2,079 Обс.
31%
2.0-3.0%
$689 Обс.
<1%
3.0-4.0%
$614 Обс.
4%
4.0-5.0%
$1,560 Обс.
2%
5.0-6.0%
$683 Обс.
2%
6.0-7.0%
$1,555 Обс.
19%
7.0%+
$1,132 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak euro area GDP data and downward revisions in official forecasts have positioned the 1.0-2.0% and 0-1.0% ranges as the leading market-implied outcomes for 2026 annual growth. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-over-year growth slowing to 0.8%, while the European Commission’s May Spring Forecast cut its euro-area projection to 0.9% amid energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict. IMF staff projections similarly point to 0.9% growth, citing weaker investment, consumption, and temporary supply shocks that also elevate inflation risks. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around subdued expansion near potential, with upcoming ECB projections and further Q2 data releases likely to influence sentiment around the closely contested 0-2% band.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$9,907Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent weak euro area GDP data and downward revisions in official forecasts have positioned the 1.0-2.0% and 0-1.0% ranges as the leading market-implied outcomes for 2026 annual growth. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-over-year growth slowing to 0.8%, while the European Commission’s May Spring Forecast cut its euro-area projection to 0.9% amid energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict. IMF staff projections similarly point to 0.9% growth, citing weaker investment, consumption, and temporary supply shocks that also elevate inflation risks. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around subdued expansion near potential, with upcoming ECB projections and further Q2 data releases likely to influence sentiment around the closely contested 0-2% band.
This market will resolve according to the estimation of Euro Area (Eurozone) annual GDP growth for the full year of 2026 (% change), based on seasonally and calendar adjusted quarterly data, as reported in the "GDP and employment flash estimates for the fourth quarter of 2026" flash release for Q4 of 2026, scheduled to be released in January 2027.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the Euro Area GDP growth rate for the full year of 2026 is included in this release, this market will resolve according to the Euro Area GDP growth rate for Q4 2026, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year. If no data is released for either the full year or fourth quarter of 2026 by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter, as compared to the same quarter in the previous year.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$9,907Дата завершення
Jan 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent weak euro area GDP data and downward revisions in official forecasts have positioned the 1.0-2.0% and 0-1.0% ranges as the leading market-implied outcomes for 2026 annual growth. Eurostat reported just 0.1% quarter-on-quarter expansion in Q1 2026, with year-over-year growth slowing to 0.8%, while the European Commission’s May Spring Forecast cut its euro-area projection to 0.9% amid energy-price pressures from the Middle East conflict. IMF staff projections similarly point to 0.9% growth, citing weaker investment, consumption, and temporary supply shocks that also elevate inflation risks. These developments have reinforced trader consensus around subdued expansion near potential, with upcoming ECB projections and further Q2 data releases likely to influence sentiment around the closely contested 0-2% band.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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