Japan’s 10-year government bond yield, currently near 2.98–3.0%, trades close to 30-year highs amid the Bank of Japan’s September 18 decision to raise its policy rate 25 basis points to 1.25%, the highest level since 1995. Persistent price pressures, with headline inflation at 1.9% and core measures near 1.7–1.9% in August, alongside wage pass-through and elevated oil prices, support further tightening expectations. The split 7-2 vote and external pressure from U.S. officials reinforce trader views that the yield curve will remain elevated through year-end. Market-implied odds heavily favor a 3.0%+ close, reflecting the pace of normalization and limited scope for rapid disinflation before December 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено3.0%+ 66.3%
2.8-3.0% 15.9%
2.4-2.6% 7.0%
2.6-2.8% 2.6%
$29,743 Обс.
$29,743 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
<2.0%
1%
2.0-2.2%
2%
2.2-2.4%
<1%
2.4-2.6%
7%
2.6-2.8%
3%
2.8-3.0%
16%
3.0%+
66%
3.0%+ 66.3%
2.8-3.0% 15.9%
2.4-2.6% 7.0%
2.6-2.8% 2.6%
$29,743 Обс.
$29,743 Обс.
Dec 30, 2026
<2.0%
$1,370 Обс.
1%
2.0-2.2%
$1,701 Обс.
2%
2.2-2.4%
$1,263 Обс.
<1%
2.4-2.6%
$2,562 Обс.
7%
2.6-2.8%
$2,556 Обс.
3%
2.8-3.0%
$8,716 Обс.
16%
3.0%+
$11,574 Обс.
66%
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Japan’s 10-year government bond yield, currently near 2.98–3.0%, trades close to 30-year highs amid the Bank of Japan’s September 18 decision to raise its policy rate 25 basis points to 1.25%, the highest level since 1995. Persistent price pressures, with headline inflation at 1.9% and core measures near 1.7–1.9% in August, alongside wage pass-through and elevated oil prices, support further tightening expectations. The split 7-2 vote and external pressure from U.S. officials reinforce trader views that the yield curve will remain elevated through year-end. Market-implied odds heavily favor a 3.0%+ close, reflecting the pace of normalization and limited scope for rapid disinflation before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$29,743Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.Japan’s 10-year government bond yield, currently near 2.98–3.0%, trades close to 30-year highs amid the Bank of Japan’s September 18 decision to raise its policy rate 25 basis points to 1.25%, the highest level since 1995. Persistent price pressures, with headline inflation at 1.9% and core measures near 1.7–1.9% in August, alongside wage pass-through and elevated oil prices, support further tightening expectations. The split 7-2 vote and external pressure from U.S. officials reinforce trader views that the yield curve will remain elevated through year-end. Market-implied odds heavily favor a 3.0%+ close, reflecting the pace of normalization and limited scope for rapid disinflation before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the 10-year Japanese government bond (JGB) yield on the last reported day of 2026, as reported by the Japanese Ministry of Finance.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Japanese Ministry of Finance’s “Interest Rate” data for Japanese Government Bonds found at (https://www.mof.go.jp/english/policy/jgbs/reference/interest_rate/index.htm). The resolution will be based on the value listed in the column labelled “10Y” in row corresponding to the latest reported date of 2026.
The latest reported date will be confirmed once the Japanese Ministry of Finance publishes its first 10-year government bond yield for a 2027 date. The last 2026 date published before that point will be treated as the final reported date of 2026. If the Ministry of Finance has not published any 2027 yield data for the specified date by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve using the most recent 2026 yield published as of that date.
Обсяг
$29,743Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 10, 2026, 4:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Japan’s 10-year government bond yield, currently near 2.98–3.0%, trades close to 30-year highs amid the Bank of Japan’s September 18 decision to raise its policy rate 25 basis points to 1.25%, the highest level since 1995. Persistent price pressures, with headline inflation at 1.9% and core measures near 1.7–1.9% in August, alongside wage pass-through and elevated oil prices, support further tightening expectations. The split 7-2 vote and external pressure from U.S. officials reinforce trader views that the yield curve will remain elevated through year-end. Market-implied odds heavily favor a 3.0%+ close, reflecting the pace of normalization and limited scope for rapid disinflation before December 31.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання