April 2026 headline inflation eased to 4.45% year-over-year—the first decline this year—driven by lower non-core components like seasonal electricity subsidies, yet core inflation remained sticky at 4.26%, tempering optimism. This catalyzed Banco de México's (Banxico) split 3-2 decision on May 7 to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50%, declaring the end of a two-year easing cycle amid rising end-2026 inflation expectations. Polymarket traders reflect this tension with closely contested implied probabilities: 34% for 4.50%-4.99% versus 28% for 4.00%-4.49%, balancing current moderation against persistent pressures from fiscal measures and exchange rate volatility. Key differentiators include core CPI trajectory and Q2 economic data, ahead of May CPI release and Banxico's June meeting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4.00% to 4.49% 22%
5.00% to 5.49% 17.0%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.50%+ 10%
$41,174 Обс.
$41,174 Обс.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
9%
4.00% to 4.49%
28%
4.50% to 4.99%
40%
5.00% to 5.49%
17%
5.50%+
10%
4.00% to 4.49% 22%
5.00% to 5.49% 17.0%
3.50% to 3.99% 16.2%
5.50%+ 10%
$41,174 Обс.
$41,174 Обс.
Jan 8, 2027
<2.50%
$494 Обс.
5%
2.50% to 2.99%
$4,115 Обс.
<1%
3.00% to 3.49%
$25,948 Обс.
7%
3.50% to 3.99%
$396 Обс.
9%
4.00% to 4.49%
$493 Обс.
28%
4.50% to 4.99%
$3,533 Обс.
40%
5.00% to 5.49%
$1,175 Обс.
17%
5.50%+
$5,020 Обс.
10%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioApril 2026 headline inflation eased to 4.45% year-over-year—the first decline this year—driven by lower non-core components like seasonal electricity subsidies, yet core inflation remained sticky at 4.26%, tempering optimism. This catalyzed Banco de México's (Banxico) split 3-2 decision on May 7 to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50%, declaring the end of a two-year easing cycle amid rising end-2026 inflation expectations. Polymarket traders reflect this tension with closely contested implied probabilities: 34% for 4.50%-4.99% versus 28% for 4.00%-4.49%, balancing current moderation against persistent pressures from fiscal measures and exchange rate volatility. Key differentiators include core CPI trajectory and Q2 economic data, ahead of May CPI release and Banxico's June meeting.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$41,174Дата завершення
Jan 8, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendarioApril 2026 headline inflation eased to 4.45% year-over-year—the first decline this year—driven by lower non-core components like seasonal electricity subsidies, yet core inflation remained sticky at 4.26%, tempering optimism. This catalyzed Banco de México's (Banxico) split 3-2 decision on May 7 to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50%, declaring the end of a two-year easing cycle amid rising end-2026 inflation expectations. Polymarket traders reflect this tension with closely contested implied probabilities: 34% for 4.50%-4.99% versus 28% for 4.00%-4.49%, balancing current moderation against persistent pressures from fiscal measures and exchange rate volatility. Key differentiators include core CPI trajectory and Q2 economic data, ahead of May CPI release and Banxico's June meeting.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Mexico over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Mexican National Institute of Statistics and Geography (INEGI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in Mexico’s Consumer Price Index over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (annual inflation for the month of December 2026), according to the monthly INEGI National Consumer Price Index (INPC) report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the INEGI INPC report released for December 2026, expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Mexican Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/calendario
Обсяг
$41,174Дата завершення
Jan 8, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...April 2026 headline inflation eased to 4.45% year-over-year—the first decline this year—driven by lower non-core components like seasonal electricity subsidies, yet core inflation remained sticky at 4.26%, tempering optimism. This catalyzed Banco de México's (Banxico) split 3-2 decision on May 7 to cut its benchmark rate by 25 basis points to 6.50%, declaring the end of a two-year easing cycle amid rising end-2026 inflation expectations. Polymarket traders reflect this tension with closely contested implied probabilities: 34% for 4.50%-4.99% versus 28% for 4.00%-4.49%, balancing current moderation against persistent pressures from fiscal measures and exchange rate volatility. Key differentiators include core CPI trajectory and Q2 economic data, ahead of May CPI release and Banxico's June meeting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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