Recent April employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showing nonfarm payrolls rising by 115,000 and the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent, anchor trader expectations for May. This outcome exceeded consensus forecasts yet reflected the broader cooling trend in labor demand, with limited growth in the labor force keeping the jobless rate stable. Market-implied odds now cluster tightly around 4.3 percent and 4.4 percent, illustrating uncertainty over whether modest further softening or resilience will prevail in the May household survey. Key swing factors include upcoming weekly jobless claims, regional employment indicators, and any revisions to prior months. Resolution on June 5 will hinge on whether payroll momentum and labor-force participation produce a reading at the recent base rate or a modest tick higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMay Unemployment Rate
May Unemployment Rate
4.3% 38%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 16%
4.1% 14.7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 5, 2026
≤3.9%
3%
4.0%
12%
4.1%
15%
4.2%
23%
4.3%
38%
4.4%
35%
4.5%
11%
4.6%
4%
≥4.7%
5%
4.3% 38%
4.4% 28%
4.2% 16%
4.1% 14.7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jun 5, 2026
≤3.9%
$45 Обс.
3%
4.0%
$73 Обс.
12%
4.1%
$45 Обс.
15%
4.2%
$38 Обс.
23%
4.3%
$107 Обс.
38%
4.4%
$54 Обс.
35%
4.5%
$50 Обс.
11%
4.6%
$44 Обс.
4%
≥4.7%
$51 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent April employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showing nonfarm payrolls rising by 115,000 and the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent, anchor trader expectations for May. This outcome exceeded consensus forecasts yet reflected the broader cooling trend in labor demand, with limited growth in the labor force keeping the jobless rate stable. Market-implied odds now cluster tightly around 4.3 percent and 4.4 percent, illustrating uncertainty over whether modest further softening or resilience will prevail in the May household survey. Key swing factors include upcoming weekly jobless claims, regional employment indicators, and any revisions to prior months. Resolution on June 5 will hinge on whether payroll momentum and labor-force participation produce a reading at the recent base rate or a modest tick higher.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$508Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent April employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showing nonfarm payrolls rising by 115,000 and the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent, anchor trader expectations for May. This outcome exceeded consensus forecasts yet reflected the broader cooling trend in labor demand, with limited growth in the labor force keeping the jobless rate stable. Market-implied odds now cluster tightly around 4.3 percent and 4.4 percent, illustrating uncertainty over whether modest further softening or resilience will prevail in the May household survey. Key swing factors include upcoming weekly jobless claims, regional employment indicators, and any revisions to prior months. Resolution on June 5 will hinge on whether payroll momentum and labor-force participation produce a reading at the recent base rate or a modest tick higher.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (total unemployed, as a percent of the civilian labor force, official unemployment rate denoted as U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report for May 2026.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The resolution source for this market is the Monthly Employment Situation Report, published by the BLS every month at https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/empsit.htm, specifically the U-3 measure in Table A-15 for the month in question.
The relevant data release is scheduled for June 5, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. This market will resolve as soon as the relevant data is issued. Any revisions to the data after the first release will not count toward this market's resolution.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Note: the resolution source for this market reports unemployment to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$508Дата завершення
Jun 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 8, 2026, 12:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent April employment data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, showing nonfarm payrolls rising by 115,000 and the unemployment rate holding steady at 4.3 percent, anchor trader expectations for May. This outcome exceeded consensus forecasts yet reflected the broader cooling trend in labor demand, with limited growth in the labor force keeping the jobless rate stable. Market-implied odds now cluster tightly around 4.3 percent and 4.4 percent, illustrating uncertainty over whether modest further softening or resilience will prevail in the May household survey. Key swing factors include upcoming weekly jobless claims, regional employment indicators, and any revisions to prior months. Resolution on June 5 will hinge on whether payroll momentum and labor-force participation produce a reading at the recent base rate or a modest tick higher.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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