India's consumer price index rose to 3.48% year-over-year in April 2026, extending a six-month upward trend driven by firmer food prices and mounting energy cost pressures from Middle East developments. This trajectory, alongside the Reserve Bank of India's 4.6% projection for fiscal 2027 and consensus forecasts from 4.5% to 5.1%, underpins the 81% market-implied probability for annual inflation averaging 4.50% or higher. Core measures remain contained near 3.4%, yet analysts highlight pass-through risks from global crude and commodity prices that could sustain elevated readings through year-end. The next monetary policy review in June will clarify whether the central bank maintains its current stance amid these dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4.50%+ 81%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.2%
2.25% to 2.99% 6.7%
1.50% to 2.24% 5.6%
$60,464 Обс.
$60,464 Обс.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
4%
1.50% to 2.24%
6%
2.25% to 2.99%
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
1%
4.50%+
81%
4.50%+ 81%
3.00% to 3.74% 7.2%
2.25% to 2.99% 6.7%
1.50% to 2.24% 5.6%
$60,464 Обс.
$60,464 Обс.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$806 Обс.
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$525 Обс.
4%
1.50% to 2.24%
$415 Обс.
6%
2.25% to 2.99%
$23,739 Обс.
7%
3.00% to 3.74%
$517 Обс.
7%
3.75% to 4.49%
$23,208 Обс.
1%
4.50%+
$11,254 Обс.
81%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's consumer price index rose to 3.48% year-over-year in April 2026, extending a six-month upward trend driven by firmer food prices and mounting energy cost pressures from Middle East developments. This trajectory, alongside the Reserve Bank of India's 4.6% projection for fiscal 2027 and consensus forecasts from 4.5% to 5.1%, underpins the 81% market-implied probability for annual inflation averaging 4.50% or higher. Core measures remain contained near 3.4%, yet analysts highlight pass-through risks from global crude and commodity prices that could sustain elevated readings through year-end. The next monetary policy review in June will clarify whether the central bank maintains its current stance amid these dynamics.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$60,464Дата завершення
Jan 12, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfIndia's consumer price index rose to 3.48% year-over-year in April 2026, extending a six-month upward trend driven by firmer food prices and mounting energy cost pressures from Middle East developments. This trajectory, alongside the Reserve Bank of India's 4.6% projection for fiscal 2027 and consensus forecasts from 4.5% to 5.1%, underpins the 81% market-implied probability for annual inflation averaging 4.50% or higher. Core measures remain contained near 3.4%, yet analysts highlight pass-through risks from global crude and commodity prices that could sustain elevated readings through year-end. The next monetary policy review in June will clarify whether the central bank maintains its current stance amid these dynamics.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Обсяг
$60,464Дата завершення
Jan 12, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...India's consumer price index rose to 3.48% year-over-year in April 2026, extending a six-month upward trend driven by firmer food prices and mounting energy cost pressures from Middle East developments. This trajectory, alongside the Reserve Bank of India's 4.6% projection for fiscal 2027 and consensus forecasts from 4.5% to 5.1%, underpins the 81% market-implied probability for annual inflation averaging 4.50% or higher. Core measures remain contained near 3.4%, yet analysts highlight pass-through risks from global crude and commodity prices that could sustain elevated readings through year-end. The next monetary policy review in June will clarify whether the central bank maintains its current stance amid these dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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