Recent July 2026 CPI data at 4.45% and RBI revisions projecting FY2027 average inflation near 5.0% underpin the 79.5% market-implied probability for India’s 2026 annual inflation finishing at or above 4.50%. Persistent food-price pressures, elevated energy costs tied to West Asia supply risks, and unfavorable base effects are lifting readings through year-end, with Q3 peaks near 5.9% in central-bank projections. Traders assign only modest weight to lower bands given the RBI’s neutral stance at the 5.25% repo rate and resilient growth that limits downside surprises. Key near-term catalysts include August-September prints, monsoon outcomes, and the next Monetary Policy Committee review.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 13.3%
<0.75% 3.8%
3.00% to 3.74% 3.0%
$78,025 Обс.
$78,025 Обс.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
13%
4.50%+
80%
4.50%+ 80%
3.75% to 4.49% 13.3%
<0.75% 3.8%
3.00% to 3.74% 3.0%
$78,025 Обс.
$78,025 Обс.
Jan 12, 2027
<0.75%
$1,769 Обс.
4%
0.75% to 1.49%
$1,191 Обс.
<1%
1.50% to 2.24%
$1,265 Обс.
1%
2.25% to 2.99%
$24,989 Обс.
1%
3.00% to 3.74%
$2,081 Обс.
3%
3.75% to 4.49%
$29,492 Обс.
13%
4.50%+
$17,238 Обс.
80%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent July 2026 CPI data at 4.45% and RBI revisions projecting FY2027 average inflation near 5.0% underpin the 79.5% market-implied probability for India’s 2026 annual inflation finishing at or above 4.50%. Persistent food-price pressures, elevated energy costs tied to West Asia supply risks, and unfavorable base effects are lifting readings through year-end, with Q3 peaks near 5.9% in central-bank projections. Traders assign only modest weight to lower bands given the RBI’s neutral stance at the 5.25% repo rate and resilient growth that limits downside surprises. Key near-term catalysts include August-September prints, monsoon outcomes, and the next Monetary Policy Committee review.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ET
Обсяг
$78,025Дата завершення
Jan 12, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdfRecent July 2026 CPI data at 4.45% and RBI revisions projecting FY2027 average inflation near 5.0% underpin the 79.5% market-implied probability for India’s 2026 annual inflation finishing at or above 4.50%. Persistent food-price pressures, elevated energy costs tied to West Asia supply risks, and unfavorable base effects are lifting readings through year-end, with Q3 peaks near 5.9% in central-bank projections. Traders assign only modest weight to lower bands given the RBI’s neutral stance at the 5.25% repo rate and resilient growth that limits downside surprises. Key near-term catalysts include August-September prints, monsoon outcomes, and the next Monetary Policy Committee review.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in India over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Indian Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MoSPI).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (Year-on-Year inflation, over the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MoSPI Consumer Price Index report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MoSPI Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 12, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mospi.gov.in/latest-releases
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the Indian Consumer Price Index to two decimal points (e.g. 2.01%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.mospi.gov.in/uploads/documents/releaseCalender/1770293210621-ADVANCE%20RELEASE%20CALENDAR%202026-27%20FINAL%2005.02.2026.pdf
Обсяг
$78,025Дата завершення
Jan 12, 2027Ринок відкрито
Feb 9, 2026, 6:37 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent July 2026 CPI data at 4.45% and RBI revisions projecting FY2027 average inflation near 5.0% underpin the 79.5% market-implied probability for India’s 2026 annual inflation finishing at or above 4.50%. Persistent food-price pressures, elevated energy costs tied to West Asia supply risks, and unfavorable base effects are lifting readings through year-end, with Q3 peaks near 5.9% in central-bank projections. Traders assign only modest weight to lower bands given the RBI’s neutral stance at the 5.25% repo rate and resilient growth that limits downside surprises. Key near-term catalysts include August-September prints, monsoon outcomes, and the next Monetary Policy Committee review.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання