Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister, secured through the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance’s majority in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues with strong institutional backing into 2026. State assembly results through mid-2026 expanded NDA control to roughly 20–22 states, including key gains in West Bengal and Bihar, reinforcing the coalition’s legislative position ahead of the next national polls scheduled for 2029. Recent youth-led protests prompted one ministerial resignation but produced no broader challenge to government stability or calls for early elections. Polling from early 2026 reflected sustained support for continuity in leadership. Traders therefore assign a low implied probability to Modi leaving office before the close of 2026, consistent with the absence of scheduled electoral tests or confirmed coalition fractures in the immediate term.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоModi out by December 31, 2026?
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
7% шанс
$230,782 Обс.
$230,782 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
7% шанс
$230,782 Обс.
$230,782 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister, secured through the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance’s majority in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues with strong institutional backing into 2026. State assembly results through mid-2026 expanded NDA control to roughly 20–22 states, including key gains in West Bengal and Bihar, reinforcing the coalition’s legislative position ahead of the next national polls scheduled for 2029. Recent youth-led protests prompted one ministerial resignation but produced no broader challenge to government stability or calls for early elections. Polling from early 2026 reflected sustained support for continuity in leadership. Traders therefore assign a low implied probability to Modi leaving office before the close of 2026, consistent with the absence of scheduled electoral tests or confirmed coalition fractures in the immediate term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ET
Обсяг
$230,782Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister, secured through the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance’s majority in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues with strong institutional backing into 2026. State assembly results through mid-2026 expanded NDA control to roughly 20–22 states, including key gains in West Bengal and Bihar, reinforcing the coalition’s legislative position ahead of the next national polls scheduled for 2029. Recent youth-led protests prompted one ministerial resignation but produced no broader challenge to government stability or calls for early elections. Polling from early 2026 reflected sustained support for continuity in leadership. Traders therefore assign a low implied probability to Modi leaving office before the close of 2026, consistent with the absence of scheduled electoral tests or confirmed coalition fractures in the immediate term.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Narendra Modi ceases to be Prime Minister of India for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Narendra Modi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Narendra Modi and the government of India; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$230,782Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 13, 2025, 1:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Narendra Modi’s third term as prime minister, secured through the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance’s majority in the 2024 Lok Sabha elections, continues with strong institutional backing into 2026. State assembly results through mid-2026 expanded NDA control to roughly 20–22 states, including key gains in West Bengal and Bihar, reinforcing the coalition’s legislative position ahead of the next national polls scheduled for 2029. Recent youth-led protests prompted one ministerial resignation but produced no broader challenge to government stability or calls for early elections. Polling from early 2026 reflected sustained support for continuity in leadership. Traders therefore assign a low implied probability to Modi leaving office before the close of 2026, consistent with the absence of scheduled electoral tests or confirmed coalition fractures in the immediate term.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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