Tight U.S. cattle supplies, stemming from a multi-year herd contraction driven by droughts and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant driver keeping retail ground beef prices near record levels around $6.75 per pound as of May 2026. USDA data project 2026 beef production at 25.547 billion pounds amid slower slaughter, with strong consumer protein demand and constrained domestic lean trimmings sustaining upward pressure despite robust imports of lean beef. Potential tariff adjustments on imports introduce additional upside risk to prices, while gradual herd stabilization and affordability concerns could moderate gains later in the year. Seasonal summer demand and any revisions to official production forecasts represent key near-term variables for trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill ground beef hit __ in 2026?
Will ground beef hit __ in 2026?
$20,843 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$7.000+
72%
$8.000+
41%
$9.000+
36%
$10.000+
16%
$20,843 Обс.
$7.000+
$53 Обс.
72%
$8.000+
$1,828 Обс.
41%
$9.000+
$587 Обс.
36%
$10.000+
$18,375 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, stemming from a multi-year herd contraction driven by droughts and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant driver keeping retail ground beef prices near record levels around $6.75 per pound as of May 2026. USDA data project 2026 beef production at 25.547 billion pounds amid slower slaughter, with strong consumer protein demand and constrained domestic lean trimmings sustaining upward pressure despite robust imports of lean beef. Potential tariff adjustments on imports introduce additional upside risk to prices, while gradual herd stabilization and affordability concerns could moderate gains later in the year. Seasonal summer demand and any revisions to official production forecasts represent key near-term variables for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,843Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Tight U.S. cattle supplies, stemming from a multi-year herd contraction driven by droughts and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant driver keeping retail ground beef prices near record levels around $6.75 per pound as of May 2026. USDA data project 2026 beef production at 25.547 billion pounds amid slower slaughter, with strong consumer protein demand and constrained domestic lean trimmings sustaining upward pressure despite robust imports of lean beef. Potential tariff adjustments on imports introduce additional upside risk to prices, while gradual herd stabilization and affordability concerns could moderate gains later in the year. Seasonal summer demand and any revisions to official production forecasts represent key near-term variables for trader positioning.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the figure for "Average Price: Ground Beef, 100% Beef (Cost per Pound/453.6 Grams) in U.S. City Average" reaches or exceeds the listed figure for any month of 2026 as published by the St. Louis Fed (https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/APU0000703112). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for ground beef prices on the BLS's CPI release. This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" upon a qualifying update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for any month of 2026 is released by the scheduled date for the January 2027 CPI release, this market will resolve according to the data for 2026 already available at that time.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Обсяг
$20,843Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 3, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Tight U.S. cattle supplies, stemming from a multi-year herd contraction driven by droughts and elevated feed costs, remain the dominant driver keeping retail ground beef prices near record levels around $6.75 per pound as of May 2026. USDA data project 2026 beef production at 25.547 billion pounds amid slower slaughter, with strong consumer protein demand and constrained domestic lean trimmings sustaining upward pressure despite robust imports of lean beef. Potential tariff adjustments on imports introduce additional upside risk to prices, while gradual herd stabilization and affordability concerns could moderate gains later in the year. Seasonal summer demand and any revisions to official production forecasts represent key near-term variables for trader positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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