Recent ECB staff projections released in mid-September project euro area real GDP growth of 0.9% for 2026 overall, incorporating positive Q2 data surprises where Eurostat reported 0.6% quarter-on-quarter expansion and supportive survey indicators. This underpins trader consensus around the 0.8-1.1% year-over-year bucket for Q3, though heatwaves, droughts, and associated supply disruptions are expected to weigh on third-quarter momentum. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict have driven headline HICP inflation to 2.9-3.3% recently, prompting the ECB's 25 basis point rate hike, while labor markets remain resilient near 6.2-6.3% unemployment. Key near-term catalysts include incoming PMI readings and the Q3 flash GDP estimate, with market-implied odds reflecting these offsetting growth and inflation dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено0.8-1.1% 52%
1.2-1.5% 23.3%
0.4-0.7% 14.0%
0.0-0.3% 5.5%
$63,030 Обс.
$63,030 Обс.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
1%
0.0-0.3%
6%
0.4-0.7%
14%
0.8-1.1%
52%
1.2-1.5%
23%
1.6-1.9%
<1%
2.0%+
1%
0.8-1.1% 52%
1.2-1.5% 23.3%
0.4-0.7% 14.0%
0.0-0.3% 5.5%
$63,030 Обс.
$63,030 Обс.
Oct 30, 2026
<0.0%
$1,774 Обс.
1%
0.0-0.3%
$1,692 Обс.
6%
0.4-0.7%
$9,978 Обс.
14%
0.8-1.1%
$42,856 Обс.
52%
1.2-1.5%
$3,591 Обс.
23%
1.6-1.9%
$1,702 Обс.
<1%
2.0%+
$1,437 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections released in mid-September project euro area real GDP growth of 0.9% for 2026 overall, incorporating positive Q2 data surprises where Eurostat reported 0.6% quarter-on-quarter expansion and supportive survey indicators. This underpins trader consensus around the 0.8-1.1% year-over-year bucket for Q3, though heatwaves, droughts, and associated supply disruptions are expected to weigh on third-quarter momentum. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict have driven headline HICP inflation to 2.9-3.3% recently, prompting the ECB's 25 basis point rate hike, while labor markets remain resilient near 6.2-6.3% unemployment. Key near-term catalysts include incoming PMI readings and the Q3 flash GDP estimate, with market-implied odds reflecting these offsetting growth and inflation dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ET
Обсяг
$63,030Дата завершення
Oct 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent ECB staff projections released in mid-September project euro area real GDP growth of 0.9% for 2026 overall, incorporating positive Q2 data surprises where Eurostat reported 0.6% quarter-on-quarter expansion and supportive survey indicators. This underpins trader consensus around the 0.8-1.1% year-over-year bucket for Q3, though heatwaves, droughts, and associated supply disruptions are expected to weigh on third-quarter momentum. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict have driven headline HICP inflation to 2.9-3.3% recently, prompting the ECB's 25 basis point rate hike, while labor markets remain resilient near 6.2-6.3% unemployment. Key near-term catalysts include incoming PMI readings and the Q3 flash GDP estimate, with market-implied odds reflecting these offsetting growth and inflation dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the Eurozone (Euro Area 21) Q3 2026 GDP growth rate over the same quarter of the previous year (% change), based on seasonally adjusted data, in the Eurostat Preliminary Flash Estimate of GDP release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 30, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/euro-indicators
If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter.
This market’s resolution source reports GDP growth rates to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Note: data from the initial release of the referenced flash GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release of the specified report will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Обсяг
$63,030Дата завершення
Oct 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 7:28 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent ECB staff projections released in mid-September project euro area real GDP growth of 0.9% for 2026 overall, incorporating positive Q2 data surprises where Eurostat reported 0.6% quarter-on-quarter expansion and supportive survey indicators. This underpins trader consensus around the 0.8-1.1% year-over-year bucket for Q3, though heatwaves, droughts, and associated supply disruptions are expected to weigh on third-quarter momentum. Persistent energy price pressures from the Middle East conflict have driven headline HICP inflation to 2.9-3.3% recently, prompting the ECB's 25 basis point rate hike, while labor markets remain resilient near 6.2-6.3% unemployment. Key near-term catalysts include incoming PMI readings and the Q3 flash GDP estimate, with market-implied odds reflecting these offsetting growth and inflation dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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