The 68.5% market-implied odds of no change at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting stem primarily from the Fed's ongoing hold at the 3.50-3.75% target range, supported by June 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year while core measures stabilized near 2.6%. Recent labor market readings and producer price trends indicate persistent but contained pressures, aligning trader consensus with a cautious stance ahead of the next Summary of Economic Projections. Modest 22.5% pricing for a 25 basis point hike incorporates hawkish signals from new leadership and upside inflation risks, though sticky readings and stable growth data limit near-term odds of easing or aggressive tightening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFed Decision in October?
Fed Decision in October?
No change 69%
25 bps increase 23%
25 bps decrease 5%
50+ bps increase 2.5%
$451,363 Обс.
$451,363 Обс.
Oct 28, 2026
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
5%
No change
69%
25 bps increase
23%
50+ bps increase
3%
No change 69%
25 bps increase 23%
25 bps decrease 5%
50+ bps increase 2.5%
$451,363 Обс.
$451,363 Обс.
Oct 28, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$99,924 Обс.
1%
25 bps decrease
$100,318 Обс.
5%
No change
$102,363 Обс.
69%
25 bps increase
$107,565 Обс.
23%
50+ bps increase
$41,192 Обс.
3%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The 68.5% market-implied odds of no change at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting stem primarily from the Fed's ongoing hold at the 3.50-3.75% target range, supported by June 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year while core measures stabilized near 2.6%. Recent labor market readings and producer price trends indicate persistent but contained pressures, aligning trader consensus with a cautious stance ahead of the next Summary of Economic Projections. Modest 22.5% pricing for a 25 basis point hike incorporates hawkish signals from new leadership and upside inflation risks, though sticky readings and stable growth data limit near-term odds of easing or aggressive tightening.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ET
Обсяг
$451,363Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The 68.5% market-implied odds of no change at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting stem primarily from the Fed's ongoing hold at the 3.50-3.75% target range, supported by June 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year while core measures stabilized near 2.6%. Recent labor market readings and producer price trends indicate persistent but contained pressures, aligning trader consensus with a cautious stance ahead of the next Summary of Economic Projections. Modest 22.5% pricing for a 25 basis point hike incorporates hawkish signals from new leadership and upside inflation risks, though sticky readings and stable growth data limit near-term odds of easing or aggressive tightening.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Обсяг
$451,363Дата завершення
Oct 28, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 17, 2026, 7:21 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 68.5% market-implied odds of no change at the October 27-28 FOMC meeting stem primarily from the Fed's ongoing hold at the 3.50-3.75% target range, supported by June 2026 CPI data showing headline inflation easing to 3.5% year-over-year while core measures stabilized near 2.6%. Recent labor market readings and producer price trends indicate persistent but contained pressures, aligning trader consensus with a cautious stance ahead of the next Summary of Economic Projections. Modest 22.5% pricing for a 25 basis point hike incorporates hawkish signals from new leadership and upside inflation risks, though sticky readings and stable growth data limit near-term odds of easing or aggressive tightening.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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