President Trump’s April 15, 2026, Fox Business interview escalated pressure on Jerome Powell by vowing to remove him from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if Powell does not vacate his seat once his four-year chair term expires today. This follows the Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor and an ongoing DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations, which the administration has framed as evidence of Powell’s alleged mismanagement. Powell has signaled intent to remain a governor through 2028, a stance backed by statute that limits presidential removal authority over board members. Markets are pricing in these legal and political hurdles alongside broader implications for monetary policy independence, Treasury yields, and inflation expectations amid recent tariff and geopolitical developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
Will Trump try to fire Powell as Fed Board Member by...?
$15,137 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
June 30
4%
December 31
18%
$15,137 Обс.
June 30
$8,013 Обс.
4%
December 31
$7,124 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s April 15, 2026, Fox Business interview escalated pressure on Jerome Powell by vowing to remove him from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if Powell does not vacate his seat once his four-year chair term expires today. This follows the Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor and an ongoing DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations, which the administration has framed as evidence of Powell’s alleged mismanagement. Powell has signaled intent to remain a governor through 2028, a stance backed by statute that limits presidential removal authority over board members. Markets are pricing in these legal and political hurdles alongside broader implications for monetary policy independence, Treasury yields, and inflation expectations amid recent tariff and geopolitical developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$15,137Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump’s April 15, 2026, Fox Business interview escalated pressure on Jerome Powell by vowing to remove him from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if Powell does not vacate his seat once his four-year chair term expires today. This follows the Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor and an ongoing DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations, which the administration has framed as evidence of Powell’s alleged mismanagement. Powell has signaled intent to remain a governor through 2028, a stance backed by statute that limits presidential removal authority over board members. Markets are pricing in these legal and political hurdles alongside broader implications for monetary policy independence, Treasury yields, and inflation expectations amid recent tariff and geopolitical developments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$15,137Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump’s April 15, 2026, Fox Business interview escalated pressure on Jerome Powell by vowing to remove him from the Federal Reserve Board of Governors if Powell does not vacate his seat once his four-year chair term expires today. This follows the Senate’s recent confirmation of Kevin Warsh as successor and an ongoing DOJ probe into Fed headquarters renovations, which the administration has framed as evidence of Powell’s alleged mismanagement. Powell has signaled intent to remain a governor through 2028, a stance backed by statute that limits presidential removal authority over board members. Markets are pricing in these legal and political hurdles alongside broader implications for monetary policy independence, Treasury yields, and inflation expectations amid recent tariff and geopolitical developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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