Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
How many dissent at the January Fed meeting?
2 25%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 27, 2027
0
19%
1
22%
2
25%
3
24%
4+
18%
2 25%
3 24%
1 22%
0 19%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Jan 27, 2027
0
$966 Обс.
19%
1
$310 Обс.
22%
2
$61 Обс.
25%
3
$4,106 Обс.
24%
4+
$190 Обс.
18%
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,634Дата завершення
Jan 27, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
The January Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for January 26-27, 2027. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on January 27, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the January Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for January 26-27, 2027, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their January meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$5,634Дата завершення
Jan 27, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 31, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent FOMC meetings under Chair Kevin Warsh have featured rising internal divisions, with three members dissenting toward a 25-basis-point hike at the July 2026 gathering amid inflation stuck near 3.5% and a resilient labor market holding unemployment around 4.2%. Persistent price pressures above the 2% target, combined with solid growth and capital investment, have shifted market-implied rate paths higher, with futures pricing modest firming into 2027. This environment creates competitive dynamics for the January 2027 meeting, where closely matched probabilities for one to three dissents reflect uncertainty over whether the committee can maintain consensus or if regional presidents favoring tighter policy will again break ranks, depending on incoming CPI, employment data, and any September policy adjustments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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