The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up 18 basis points over the past month, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—signaling persistent price pressures amid sticky core readings. This has tempered rate-cut expectations, with the Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% following its April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on resilient labor markets and fiscal deficit expansion boosting Treasury supply. Yields hit 4.49% intraday on May 13 amid the CPI reaction, the highest since July 2025. Key catalysts ahead include May 16 nonfarm payrolls, June 16-17 FOMC, and May CPI release, which could push yields toward 5% if inflation reaccelerates or toward 4% on disinflation signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
$200,059 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
4.5%
96%
4.6%
50%
4.8%
22%
5.0%
11%
5.2%
9%
5.5%
7%
5.7%
7%
6.0%
5%
$200,059 Обс.
4.5%
$31,961 Обс.
96%
4.6%
$36,287 Обс.
50%
4.8%
$47,062 Обс.
22%
5.0%
$42,451 Обс.
11%
5.2%
$8,584 Обс.
9%
5.5%
$1,448 Обс.
7%
5.7%
$3,229 Обс.
7%
6.0%
$2,070 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up 18 basis points over the past month, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—signaling persistent price pressures amid sticky core readings. This has tempered rate-cut expectations, with the Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% following its April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on resilient labor markets and fiscal deficit expansion boosting Treasury supply. Yields hit 4.49% intraday on May 13 amid the CPI reaction, the highest since July 2025. Key catalysts ahead include May 16 nonfarm payrolls, June 16-17 FOMC, and May CPI release, which could push yields toward 5% if inflation reaccelerates or toward 4% on disinflation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Ринок відкрито: Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$200,059Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between December 9, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up 18 basis points over the past month, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—signaling persistent price pressures amid sticky core readings. This has tempered rate-cut expectations, with the Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% following its April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on resilient labor markets and fiscal deficit expansion boosting Treasury supply. Yields hit 4.49% intraday on May 13 amid the CPI reaction, the highest since July 2025. Key catalysts ahead include May 16 nonfarm payrolls, June 16-17 FOMC, and May CPI release, which could push yields toward 5% if inflation reaccelerates or toward 4% on disinflation signals.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
Обсяг
$200,059Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 12, 2025, 5:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.47% as of May 14, 2026, up 18 basis points over the past month, driven primarily by hotter-than-expected April CPI inflation at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since May 2023—signaling persistent price pressures amid sticky core readings. This has tempered rate-cut expectations, with the Federal Reserve holding the fed funds target at 3.50%-3.75% following its April 28-29 meeting, reflecting trader consensus on resilient labor markets and fiscal deficit expansion boosting Treasury supply. Yields hit 4.49% intraday on May 13 amid the CPI reaction, the highest since July 2025. Key catalysts ahead include May 16 nonfarm payrolls, June 16-17 FOMC, and May CPI release, which could push yields toward 5% if inflation reaccelerates or toward 4% on disinflation signals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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