The close split between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 outcomes captures trader focus on the precise timing of Jerome Powell’s exit from the Federal Reserve chair position after his four-year term expires on May 15. Powell stated on April 29 that he would step aside as chair upon Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation as successor while remaining on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period to address ongoing legal and political pressures on institutional independence. Warsh’s confirmation cleared final procedural hurdles in late April after the Justice Department closed its related investigation, narrowing the window for any last-minute delays or announcements. With both leading buckets under 50 percent, the market pricing reflects the remaining procedural steps in the transition rather than any shift in the established May 15 endpoint.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhen will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
When will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair?
May 23–29 36.9%
May 15–22 34.3%
May 30–June 5 6.4%
June 6–12 2.3%
$165,920 Обс.
$165,920 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
43%
May 23–29
40%
May 30–June 5
6%
June 6–12
2%
June 13–19
2%
June 20–26
1%
June 27–July 3
1%
After July 3
1%
May 23–29 36.9%
May 15–22 34.3%
May 30–June 5 6.4%
June 6–12 2.3%
$165,920 Обс.
$165,920 Обс.
Jul 3, 2026
May 15–22
$62,760 Обс.
43%
May 23–29
$8,215 Обс.
40%
May 30–June 5
$9,089 Обс.
6%
June 6–12
$9,011 Обс.
2%
June 13–19
$8,827 Обс.
2%
June 20–26
$10,043 Обс.
1%
June 27–July 3
$5,151 Обс.
1%
After July 3
$15,871 Обс.
1%
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The close split between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 outcomes captures trader focus on the precise timing of Jerome Powell’s exit from the Federal Reserve chair position after his four-year term expires on May 15. Powell stated on April 29 that he would step aside as chair upon Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation as successor while remaining on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period to address ongoing legal and political pressures on institutional independence. Warsh’s confirmation cleared final procedural hurdles in late April after the Justice Department closed its related investigation, narrowing the window for any last-minute delays or announcements. With both leading buckets under 50 percent, the market pricing reflects the remaining procedural steps in the transition rather than any shift in the established May 15 endpoint.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ET
Обсяг
$165,920Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The close split between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 outcomes captures trader focus on the precise timing of Jerome Powell’s exit from the Federal Reserve chair position after his four-year term expires on May 15. Powell stated on April 29 that he would step aside as chair upon Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation as successor while remaining on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period to address ongoing legal and political pressures on institutional independence. Warsh’s confirmation cleared final procedural hurdles in late April after the Justice Department closed its related investigation, narrowing the window for any last-minute delays or announcements. With both leading buckets under 50 percent, the market pricing reflects the remaining procedural steps in the transition rather than any shift in the established May 15 endpoint.
This market will resolve according to the listed date range during which Jerome Powell vacates his role as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Vacating his role refers to Powell actually ceasing to hold the position of Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Announcements of Powell's resignation or firing will not alone qualify.
The scheduled end of Powell’s term as Chair will not alone qualify. If Powell continues to serve as Chair on a temporary basis (e.g. until the confirmation of his successor), he will not be considered to have vacated his role as Chair.
This market is restricted to Powell’s status as Chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors. Powell’s status as a regular member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors will not affect this market’s resolution.
All dates refer to the Eastern Time zone (ET).
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$165,920Дата завершення
Jul 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 16, 2026, 11:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The close split between the May 15–22 and May 23–29 outcomes captures trader focus on the precise timing of Jerome Powell’s exit from the Federal Reserve chair position after his four-year term expires on May 15. Powell stated on April 29 that he would step aside as chair upon Kevin Warsh’s Senate confirmation as successor while remaining on the Board of Governors for an undetermined period to address ongoing legal and political pressures on institutional independence. Warsh’s confirmation cleared final procedural hurdles in late April after the Justice Department closed its related investigation, narrowing the window for any last-minute delays or announcements. With both leading buckets under 50 percent, the market pricing reflects the remaining procedural steps in the transition rather than any shift in the established May 15 endpoint.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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