Recent euro area HICP data showing July 2026 inflation at 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June and driven by energy prices surging amid renewed Middle East tensions, has shifted trader consensus toward higher 2026 averages. The ECB’s June staff projections placed the annual rate at 3.0%, with IMF and OECD forecasts revised upward to 2.9% and 2.8% respectively in July, reflecting sticky services inflation near 3.3% and pass-through effects. Market-implied odds assigning 59.8% probability to a 3.1%+ outcome price in these persistent pressures and limited near-term disinflation, while lower bins capture downside risks if energy futures moderate. Key upcoming catalysts include the August HICP release and September ECB policy meeting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 59.9%
2.8-3.0% 15.8%
<1.0% 7.8%
2.5–2.7% 6.7%
$104,891 Обс.
$104,891 Обс.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
8%
1.0–1.2%
6%
1.3–1.5%
1%
1.6–1.8%
6%
1.9–2.1%
<1%
2.2–2.4%
5%
2.5–2.7%
7%
2.8-3.0%
16%
3.1%+
60%
3.1%+ 59.9%
2.8-3.0% 15.8%
<1.0% 7.8%
2.5–2.7% 6.7%
$104,891 Обс.
$104,891 Обс.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$4,299 Обс.
8%
1.0–1.2%
$16,106 Обс.
6%
1.3–1.5%
$16,210 Обс.
1%
1.6–1.8%
$3,303 Обс.
6%
1.9–2.1%
$25,461 Обс.
<1%
2.2–2.4%
$4,216 Обс.
5%
2.5–2.7%
$7,289 Обс.
7%
2.8-3.0%
$16,551 Обс.
16%
3.1%+
$11,455 Обс.
60%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent euro area HICP data showing July 2026 inflation at 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June and driven by energy prices surging amid renewed Middle East tensions, has shifted trader consensus toward higher 2026 averages. The ECB’s June staff projections placed the annual rate at 3.0%, with IMF and OECD forecasts revised upward to 2.9% and 2.8% respectively in July, reflecting sticky services inflation near 3.3% and pass-through effects. Market-implied odds assigning 59.8% probability to a 3.1%+ outcome price in these persistent pressures and limited near-term disinflation, while lower bins capture downside risks if energy futures moderate. Key upcoming catalysts include the August HICP release and September ECB policy meeting.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Ринок відкрито: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Обсяг
$104,891Дата завершення
Jan 19, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlRecent euro area HICP data showing July 2026 inflation at 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June and driven by energy prices surging amid renewed Middle East tensions, has shifted trader consensus toward higher 2026 averages. The ECB’s June staff projections placed the annual rate at 3.0%, with IMF and OECD forecasts revised upward to 2.9% and 2.8% respectively in July, reflecting sticky services inflation near 3.3% and pass-through effects. Market-implied odds assigning 59.8% probability to a 3.1%+ outcome price in these persistent pressures and limited near-term disinflation, while lower bins capture downside risks if energy futures moderate. Key upcoming catalysts include the August HICP release and September ECB policy meeting.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Обсяг
$104,891Дата завершення
Jan 19, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent euro area HICP data showing July 2026 inflation at 2.9%, up from 2.8% in June and driven by energy prices surging amid renewed Middle East tensions, has shifted trader consensus toward higher 2026 averages. The ECB’s June staff projections placed the annual rate at 3.0%, with IMF and OECD forecasts revised upward to 2.9% and 2.8% respectively in July, reflecting sticky services inflation near 3.3% and pass-through effects. Market-implied odds assigning 59.8% probability to a 3.1%+ outcome price in these persistent pressures and limited near-term disinflation, while lower bins capture downside risks if energy futures moderate. Key upcoming catalysts include the August HICP release and September ECB policy meeting.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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