Romania's fragmented political landscape following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's centrist coalition has dispersed trader consensus across numerous candidates. President Nicușor Dan's ongoing consultations with parliamentary parties, scheduled to begin May 18, focus on securing a pro-European majority without early elections or far-right involvement, leaving the field open amid negotiations between the Social Democrats, National Liberals, and smaller groups. This uncertainty over coalition dynamics and the preference for a figure likely to win parliamentary approval sustains tight odds, with no single contender exceeding 18 percent implied probability. Upcoming talks and any announced majority agreement could quickly consolidate support behind a viable nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоȘerban Matei 17.8%
Radu Burnete 10%
Sorin Grindeanu 10%
Cătălin Predoiu 7%
$530,924 Обс.
$530,924 Обс.

Șerban Matei
18%

Radu Burnete
10%

Sorin Grindeanu
10%

Cătălin Predoiu
7%

Anca Dragu
2%

Alexandru Nazare
1%

Alexandru Rogobete
1%

George Simion
1%

Ilie Bolojan
1%

Dan Motreanu
1%

Ciprian Ciucu
1%

Ionuț Dumitru
1%

Delia Velculescu
1%

Mugur Isărescu
<1%

Mircea Geoană
<1%

Lucian Isar
<1%

Marcel Ciolacu
<1%

Alexandru Rafila
<1%

Sebastian Burduja
<1%

Elena Lasconi
<1%

Cătălin Drulă
<1%

Vasile Dîncu
<1%

Dacian Cioloș
<1%

Emil Boc
<1%

Dominic Fritz
<1%

Raluca Turcan
<1%

Lucian Croitoru
<1%

Nicolae Ciucă
<1%

Hunor Kelemen
<1%

Calin Georgescu
<1%

Dragoș Pîslaru
<1%

Traian Basescu
<1%
Șerban Matei 17.8%
Radu Burnete 10%
Sorin Grindeanu 10%
Cătălin Predoiu 7%
$530,924 Обс.
$530,924 Обс.

Șerban Matei
18%

Radu Burnete
10%

Sorin Grindeanu
10%

Cătălin Predoiu
7%

Anca Dragu
2%

Alexandru Nazare
1%

Alexandru Rogobete
1%

George Simion
1%

Ilie Bolojan
1%

Dan Motreanu
1%

Ciprian Ciucu
1%

Ionuț Dumitru
1%

Delia Velculescu
1%

Mugur Isărescu
<1%

Mircea Geoană
<1%

Lucian Isar
<1%

Marcel Ciolacu
<1%

Alexandru Rafila
<1%

Sebastian Burduja
<1%

Elena Lasconi
<1%

Cătălin Drulă
<1%

Vasile Dîncu
<1%

Dacian Cioloș
<1%

Emil Boc
<1%

Dominic Fritz
<1%

Raluca Turcan
<1%

Lucian Croitoru
<1%

Nicolae Ciucă
<1%

Hunor Kelemen
<1%

Calin Georgescu
<1%

Dragoș Pîslaru
<1%

Traian Basescu
<1%
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Romania's fragmented political landscape following the May 5 no-confidence vote that ousted Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan's centrist coalition has dispersed trader consensus across numerous candidates. President Nicușor Dan's ongoing consultations with parliamentary parties, scheduled to begin May 18, focus on securing a pro-European majority without early elections or far-right involvement, leaving the field open amid negotiations between the Social Democrats, National Liberals, and smaller groups. This uncertainty over coalition dynamics and the preference for a figure likely to win parliamentary approval sustains tight odds, with no single contender exceeding 18 percent implied probability. Upcoming talks and any announced majority agreement could quickly consolidate support behind a viable nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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