The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFlavio Bolsonaro 37%
Zema 37%
Hertz Dias 37%
Renan Santos 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
37%
Zema
37%
Hertz Dias
37%
Renan Santos
36%
Edmilson Costa
36%
Escritor Augusto Cury
36%
Lula
36%
Pablo Marçal
35%
Clariana Barao
33%
Ronaldo Caiado
32%
Rui Costa Pimenta
11%
Samara
36%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
41%
Flavio Bolsonaro 37%
Zema 37%
Hertz Dias 37%
Renan Santos 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 4, 2026
Flavio Bolsonaro
$0 Обс.
37%
Zema
$0 Обс.
37%
Hertz Dias
$0 Обс.
37%
Renan Santos
$0 Обс.
36%
Edmilson Costa
$0 Обс.
36%
Escritor Augusto Cury
$0 Обс.
36%
Lula
$0 Обс.
36%
Pablo Marçal
$0 Обс.
35%
Clariana Barao
$0 Обс.
33%
Ronaldo Caiado
$0 Обс.
32%
Rui Costa Pimenta
$0 Обс.
11%
Samara
$20 Обс.
36%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
$40 Обс.
41%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ET
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Espírito Santo, Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Espírito Santo.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Espírito Santo. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$60Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 17, 2026, 6:26 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities in Espírito Santo reflect a fragmented field ahead of the October 4 first round, with national polling averages showing incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) holding a narrow edge over Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) while governors Romeu Zema (NOVO), Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), and smaller contenders such as Renan Santos and Augusto Cury draw limited but regionally variable support. Recent party conventions have formalized these candidacies, and early campaign messaging has centered on economic measures, anti-establishment appeals, and coalition-building in the Southeast, where voter blocs remain polarized between PT and Liberal Party bases. Limited state-specific polling and the presence of multiple right-leaning options prevent any single candidate from pulling decisively ahead in trader assessments of the local outcome. Upcoming debates, further regional surveys, and shifts in turnout patterns among undecided or swing voters could alter the ordering before election day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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