Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads of 59-64% in recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys conducted in September and June, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.5% based on the state's established voting patterns favoring PT candidates through social program continuity and regional alignments. With the first round scheduled for October 4, the campaign period and free electoral broadcasts have not produced measurable shifts. Late developments such as unexpected turnout changes among undecided voters or coordinated opposition consolidation could narrow margins, though current evidence shows no such momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоLula 97.5%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$12,863 Обс.
$12,863 Обс.

Lula
98%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Clariana Barao
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%

Zema
1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Samara
<1%
Lula 97.5%
Rui Costa Pimenta <1%
Clariana Barao <1%
Pablo Marçal <1%
$12,863 Обс.
$12,863 Обс.

Lula
98%

Rui Costa Pimenta
1%

Clariana Barao
1%

Pablo Marçal
1%

Ronaldo Caiado
1%

Veterinário Wilson Grassi
1%

Zema
1%

Edmilson Costa
<1%

Escritor Augusto Cury
<1%

Flavio Bolsonaro
<1%

Hertz Dias
<1%

Renan Santos
<1%

Samara
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Aug 17, 2026, 6:33 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the most valid votes in the first round of this election from Piauí.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won in Piauí. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Lula maintains a dominant position in Piauí for first place in the 2026 presidential first round, reflecting consistent polling leads of 59-64% in recent Datafolha and AtlasIntel surveys conducted in September and June, far ahead of Flávio Bolsonaro and other names. Traders price this outcome at 97.5% based on the state's established voting patterns favoring PT candidates through social program continuity and regional alignments. With the first round scheduled for October 4, the campaign period and free electoral broadcasts have not produced measurable shifts. Late developments such as unexpected turnout changes among undecided voters or coordinated opposition consolidation could narrow margins, though current evidence shows no such momentum.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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