Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor seeking reelection after succeeding term-limited Helder Barbalho, holds a narrow edge in the Pará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent AtlasIntel polling from early September showed her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, while other surveys like Veritá indicated a reversal with Dr. Daniel ahead, underscoring the competitive dynamics. Trader pricing reflects this closeness, with Ghassan's incumbency and MDB coalition providing a modest advantage amid high undecided shares and limited support for remaining candidates such as Araceli Lemos. Ongoing September campaign events, including regional visits and free airtime, along with coalition negotiations, continue to shape positioning without decisive separation yet. A runoff scenario between the top two remains a key variable if neither secures a first-round majority.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоHana Ghassan 57%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$45,834 Обс.
$45,834 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
57%
Dr. Daniel Santos
39%
Éder Mauro
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
<1%
Rogério Barra
<1%
Paulo Rocha
<1%
Hana Ghassan 57%
Dr. Daniel Santos 39%
Éder Mauro 1.2%
Dirceu Ten Caten <1%
$45,834 Обс.
$45,834 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Hana Ghassan
$17,038 Обс.
57%
Dr. Daniel Santos
$12,154 Обс.
39%
Éder Mauro
$5,288 Обс.
1%
Dirceu Ten Caten
$2,815 Обс.
<1%
Zequinha Marinho
$2,811 Обс.
<1%
Rogério Barra
$2,872 Обс.
<1%
Paulo Rocha
$2,855 Обс.
<1%
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor seeking reelection after succeeding term-limited Helder Barbalho, holds a narrow edge in the Pará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent AtlasIntel polling from early September showed her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, while other surveys like Veritá indicated a reversal with Dr. Daniel ahead, underscoring the competitive dynamics. Trader pricing reflects this closeness, with Ghassan's incumbency and MDB coalition providing a modest advantage amid high undecided shares and limited support for remaining candidates such as Araceli Lemos. Ongoing September campaign events, including regional visits and free airtime, along with coalition negotiations, continue to shape positioning without decisive separation yet. A runoff scenario between the top two remains a key variable if neither secures a first-round majority.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Обсяг
$45,834Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor seeking reelection after succeeding term-limited Helder Barbalho, holds a narrow edge in the Pará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent AtlasIntel polling from early September showed her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, while other surveys like Veritá indicated a reversal with Dr. Daniel ahead, underscoring the competitive dynamics. Trader pricing reflects this closeness, with Ghassan's incumbency and MDB coalition providing a modest advantage amid high undecided shares and limited support for remaining candidates such as Araceli Lemos. Ongoing September campaign events, including regional visits and free airtime, along with coalition negotiations, continue to shape positioning without decisive separation yet. A runoff scenario between the top two remains a key variable if neither secures a first-round majority.
The Pará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$45,834Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan (MDB), the current governor seeking reelection after succeeding term-limited Helder Barbalho, holds a narrow edge in the Pará gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent AtlasIntel polling from early September showed her at 48.5% against Dr. Daniel Santos (Podemos) at 41.7%, while other surveys like Veritá indicated a reversal with Dr. Daniel ahead, underscoring the competitive dynamics. Trader pricing reflects this closeness, with Ghassan's incumbency and MDB coalition providing a modest advantage amid high undecided shares and limited support for remaining candidates such as Araceli Lemos. Ongoing September campaign events, including regional visits and free airtime, along with coalition negotiations, continue to shape positioning without decisive separation yet. A runoff scenario between the top two remains a key variable if neither secures a first-round majority.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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