Recent final polls ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election show Gadi Eisenkot's Yashar consistently projected to win the most seats at 22–23, ahead of Benjamin Netanyahu's Likud on 19–21, with Naftali Bennett's Together third. This positioning reflects voter shifts following Benny Gantz's withdrawal, which boosted the opposition's seat projections while Netanyahu's coalition bloc fell to around 48–50 seats, short of the 61 needed for a majority. Arab parties and smaller lists remain pivotal in potential coalition talks, and neither major bloc has secured a clear path to government. These trends underpin trader consensus on the leading outcomes in the current market.
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