Recent Israeli polls place Likud at 21–23 Knesset seats, closely trailing or tying Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party while Netanyahu’s broader coalition hovers near or below 50 seats. This positioning reflects ongoing voter fragmentation driven by security concerns from the Gaza conflict, internal Likud primaries, and the emergence of centrist and right-leaning challengers seeking to form an alternative government ahead of the October 27 election. Traders’ concentration on the 20–29 seat bands captures the narrow range across mainstream surveys, with limited upside for Likud given difficulties consolidating religious and nationalist support. Key variables that could shift the distribution include escalation or de-escalation in hostilities, changes in ultra-Orthodox draft policies, or last-minute realignments among smaller parties that affect bloc totals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 16%
$99,080 Обс.
$99,080 Обс.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
19%
20-24
33%
25-29
35%
30-34
16%
35+
3%
25-29 35%
20-24 33%
<20 18.8%
30-34 16%
$99,080 Обс.
$99,080 Обс.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$33,017 Обс.
19%
20-24
$15,417 Обс.
33%
25-29
$24,072 Обс.
35%
30-34
$18,387 Обс.
16%
35+
$8,186 Обс.
3%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls place Likud at 21–23 Knesset seats, closely trailing or tying Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party while Netanyahu’s broader coalition hovers near or below 50 seats. This positioning reflects ongoing voter fragmentation driven by security concerns from the Gaza conflict, internal Likud primaries, and the emergence of centrist and right-leaning challengers seeking to form an alternative government ahead of the October 27 election. Traders’ concentration on the 20–29 seat bands captures the narrow range across mainstream surveys, with limited upside for Likud given difficulties consolidating religious and nationalist support. Key variables that could shift the distribution include escalation or de-escalation in hostilities, changes in ultra-Orthodox draft policies, or last-minute realignments among smaller parties that affect bloc totals.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$99,080Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polls place Likud at 21–23 Knesset seats, closely trailing or tying Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party while Netanyahu’s broader coalition hovers near or below 50 seats. This positioning reflects ongoing voter fragmentation driven by security concerns from the Gaza conflict, internal Likud primaries, and the emergence of centrist and right-leaning challengers seeking to form an alternative government ahead of the October 27 election. Traders’ concentration on the 20–29 seat bands captures the narrow range across mainstream surveys, with limited upside for Likud given difficulties consolidating religious and nationalist support. Key variables that could shift the distribution include escalation or de-escalation in hostilities, changes in ultra-Orthodox draft policies, or last-minute realignments among smaller parties that affect bloc totals.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$99,080Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli polls place Likud at 21–23 Knesset seats, closely trailing or tying Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party while Netanyahu’s broader coalition hovers near or below 50 seats. This positioning reflects ongoing voter fragmentation driven by security concerns from the Gaza conflict, internal Likud primaries, and the emergence of centrist and right-leaning challengers seeking to form an alternative government ahead of the October 27 election. Traders’ concentration on the 20–29 seat bands captures the narrow range across mainstream surveys, with limited upside for Likud given difficulties consolidating religious and nationalist support. Key variables that could shift the distribution include escalation or de-escalation in hostilities, changes in ultra-Orthodox draft policies, or last-minute realignments among smaller parties that affect bloc totals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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