Recent polling averages place Likud near 26 Knesset seats, reflecting the market's narrow edge for the 25-29 range over 20-24 and 30-34 outcomes. The race remains tight due to the late-April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Beyachad" alliance, which has consolidated opposition support and narrowed Likud's lead in several surveys, alongside reported erosion in the party's base where over 40 percent of prior voters consider alternatives. Coalition tensions over military service exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties have prompted Likud to advance legislation for early elections before the October 2026 deadline, heightening uncertainty around turnout and bloc alignments. These factors sustain trader consensus on a competitive result without a decisive shift in either direction.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено25-29 40%
30-34 31%
20-24 21%
<20 13.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 27, 2026
<20
14%
20-24
34%
25-29
40%
30-34
31%
35+
15%
25-29 40%
30-34 31%
20-24 21%
<20 13.6%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$1,822 Обс.
14%
20-24
$80 Обс.
34%
25-29
$179 Обс.
40%
30-34
$132 Обс.
31%
35+
$236 Обс.
15%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud near 26 Knesset seats, reflecting the market's narrow edge for the 25-29 range over 20-24 and 30-34 outcomes. The race remains tight due to the late-April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Beyachad" alliance, which has consolidated opposition support and narrowed Likud's lead in several surveys, alongside reported erosion in the party's base where over 40 percent of prior voters consider alternatives. Coalition tensions over military service exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties have prompted Likud to advance legislation for early elections before the October 2026 deadline, heightening uncertainty around turnout and bloc alignments. These factors sustain trader consensus on a competitive result without a decisive shift in either direction.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Ринок відкрито: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,449Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Likud near 26 Knesset seats, reflecting the market's narrow edge for the 25-29 range over 20-24 and 30-34 outcomes. The race remains tight due to the late-April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Beyachad" alliance, which has consolidated opposition support and narrowed Likud's lead in several surveys, alongside reported erosion in the party's base where over 40 percent of prior voters consider alternatives. Coalition tensions over military service exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties have prompted Likud to advance legislation for early elections before the October 2026 deadline, heightening uncertainty around turnout and bloc alignments. These factors sustain trader consensus on a competitive result without a decisive shift in either direction.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Обсяг
$2,449Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Likud near 26 Knesset seats, reflecting the market's narrow edge for the 25-29 range over 20-24 and 30-34 outcomes. The race remains tight due to the late-April formation of the Bennett-Lapid "Beyachad" alliance, which has consolidated opposition support and narrowed Likud's lead in several surveys, alongside reported erosion in the party's base where over 40 percent of prior voters consider alternatives. Coalition tensions over military service exemptions for ultra-Orthodox parties have prompted Likud to advance legislation for early elections before the October 2026 deadline, heightening uncertainty around turnout and bloc alignments. These factors sustain trader consensus on a competitive result without a decisive shift in either direction.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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