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Політика·Бразилія

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

icon for Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner
Політика·Бразилія

Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner

Eduardo Paes 81.0%

Douglas Ruas 19.6%

Rafa Luz <1%

Colonel Busnello <1%

Polymarket

$492,805 Обс.

Eduardo Paes 81.0%

Douglas Ruas 19.6%

Rafa Luz <1%

Colonel Busnello <1%

Polymarket

$492,805 Обс.

icon for Eduardo Paes

Eduardo Paes

$81,787 Обс.

81%

icon for Douglas Ruas

Douglas Ruas

$40,284 Обс.

20%

icon for Rafa Luz

Rafa Luz

$21,253 Обс.

<1%

icon for Colonel Busnello

Colonel Busnello

$21,659 Обс.

<1%

icon for Felipe Curi

Felipe Curi

$36,189 Обс.

<1%

icon for Dr. Luizinho

Dr. Luizinho

$18,566 Обс.

<1%

icon for Eduardo Pazuello

Eduardo Pazuello

$3,826 Обс.

<1%

icon for Tarcísio Motta

Tarcísio Motta

$17,339 Обс.

<1%

icon for Anthony Garotinho

Anthony Garotinho

$29,367 Обс.

<1%

icon for Wilson Witzel

Wilson Witzel

$19,853 Обс.

<1%

icon for André Português

André Português

$3,688 Обс.

<1%

icon for Lindbergh Farias

Lindbergh Farias

$15,600 Обс.

<1%

icon for Nicola Miccione

Nicola Miccione

$5,387 Обс.

<1%

icon for André Ceciliano

André Ceciliano

$19,911 Обс.

<1%

icon for Chico Machado

Chico Machado

$16,095 Обс.

<1%

icon for Fred Pacheco

Fred Pacheco

$142,002 Обс.

<1%

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds an 81% implied probability in the Rio de Janeiro governor race because multiple September 2026 polls, including Datafolha and Prefab Future, show him leading first-round intentions at 37–43% with double-digit margins over Douglas Ruas (PL) at 19–25% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) near 9–10%. His advantage stems from high name recognition as a four-time former Rio mayor, endorsements from President Lula, and consistent leads across voter segments in both first- and second-round simulations. Ruas has narrowed the gap slightly since August through PL alignment and evangelical support, yet remains well behind in head-to-head matchups. Other registered candidates register below 3% and face structural barriers to reaching the runoff on October 25. Traders' pricing aligns with these polling trends and the absence of major late disruptions ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$492,805
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Paes (PSD) holds an 81% implied probability in the Rio de Janeiro governor race because multiple September 2026 polls, including Datafolha and Prefab Future, show him leading first-round intentions at 37–43% with double-digit margins over Douglas Ruas (PL) at 19–25% and Anthony Garotinho (Republicanos) near 9–10%. His advantage stems from high name recognition as a four-time former Rio mayor, endorsements from President Lula, and consistent leads across voter segments in both first- and second-round simulations. Ruas has narrowed the gap slightly since August through PL alignment and evangelical support, yet remains well behind in head-to-head matchups. Other registered candidates register below 3% and face structural barriers to reaching the runoff on October 25. Traders' pricing aligns with these polling trends and the absence of major late disruptions ahead of the October 4 first round.

The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Rio de Janeiro gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$492,805
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:22 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 16 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Eduardo Paes» з 81%, далі «Douglas Ruas» з 20%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner» згенерував $492.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner», перегляньте 16 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Rio de Janeiro Governor Election Winner» — «Eduardo Paes» з 81%. Наступний — «Douglas Ruas» з 20%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

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