Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s departure for a Senate bid, leads trader pricing at 64.5% due to consistent polling advantages in first-round and runoff scenarios. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September show Ferraço at 35-43% against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor polling 28-33%, with other registered candidates like Helder Salomão (PT) trailing further behind. Ferraço benefits from coalition continuity, high approval on fiscal and security issues, and the short campaign window before the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Pazolini’s 32.5% reflects his name recognition and party support but limited momentum against the sitting executive’s structural edge. Lower-priced names such as Sergio Vidigal, Arnaldinho Borgo, and Euclério Sampaio register minimal support in surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRicardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 33%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 Обс.
$40,175 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
33%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Ricardo Ferraço 65%
Lorenzo Pazolini 33%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$40,175 Обс.
$40,175 Обс.
Oct 4, 2026
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,350 Обс.
65%
Lorenzo Pazolini
$13,943 Обс.
33%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 Обс.
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 Обс.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 Обс.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s departure for a Senate bid, leads trader pricing at 64.5% due to consistent polling advantages in first-round and runoff scenarios. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September show Ferraço at 35-43% against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor polling 28-33%, with other registered candidates like Helder Salomão (PT) trailing further behind. Ferraço benefits from coalition continuity, high approval on fiscal and security issues, and the short campaign window before the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Pazolini’s 32.5% reflects his name recognition and party support but limited momentum against the sitting executive’s structural edge. Lower-priced names such as Sergio Vidigal, Arnaldinho Borgo, and Euclério Sampaio register minimal support in surveys.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Обсяг
$40,175Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s departure for a Senate bid, leads trader pricing at 64.5% due to consistent polling advantages in first-round and runoff scenarios. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September show Ferraço at 35-43% against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor polling 28-33%, with other registered candidates like Helder Salomão (PT) trailing further behind. Ferraço benefits from coalition continuity, high approval on fiscal and security issues, and the short campaign window before the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Pazolini’s 32.5% reflects his name recognition and party support but limited momentum against the sitting executive’s structural edge. Lower-priced names such as Sergio Vidigal, Arnaldinho Borgo, and Euclério Sampaio register minimal support in surveys.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$40,175Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), the incumbent governor who assumed office in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s departure for a Senate bid, leads trader pricing at 64.5% due to consistent polling advantages in first-round and runoff scenarios. Recent surveys from Real Time Big Data, Quaest, and AtlasIntel through early September show Ferraço at 35-43% against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos), the former Vitória mayor polling 28-33%, with other registered candidates like Helder Salomão (PT) trailing further behind. Ferraço benefits from coalition continuity, high approval on fiscal and security issues, and the short campaign window before the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. Pazolini’s 32.5% reflects his name recognition and party support but limited momentum against the sitting executive’s structural edge. Lower-priced names such as Sergio Vidigal, Arnaldinho Borgo, and Euclério Sampaio register minimal support in surveys.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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