Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), who assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the top position at 55.5% amid a fragmented field. His 77% approval rating and consistent leads in recent UOL/RealTime Big Data surveys against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) reflect incumbency advantages and cross-party continuity from the prior administration. The October 4, 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for coalition shifts, primary outcomes, or economic developments to narrow or widen gaps among lower-polling contenders such as Arnaldinho Borgo. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a modest but clear edge for the sitting governor while assigning limited separation to most alternatives.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоEspírito Santo Governor Election Winner
Ricardo Ferraço 56%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Arnaldinho Borgo 10.0%
Euclério Sampaio 6.8%
Ricardo Ferraço
56%
Lorenzo Pazolini
29%
Arnaldinho Borgo
10%
Euclério Sampaio
7%
Sergio Vidigal
3%
Ricardo Ferraço 56%
Lorenzo Pazolini 29%
Arnaldinho Borgo 10.0%
Euclério Sampaio 6.8%
Ricardo Ferraço
56%
Lorenzo Pazolini
29%
Arnaldinho Borgo
10%
Euclério Sampaio
7%
Sergio Vidigal
3%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Ринок відкрито: Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ricardo Ferraço (MDB), who assumed the governorship in April 2026 after Renato Casagrande’s resignation, holds the top position at 55.5% amid a fragmented field. His 77% approval rating and consistent leads in recent UOL/RealTime Big Data surveys against main challenger Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) reflect incumbency advantages and cross-party continuity from the prior administration. The October 4, 2026 general election remains months away, leaving room for coalition shifts, primary outcomes, or economic developments to narrow or widen gaps among lower-polling contenders such as Arnaldinho Borgo. Trader consensus prices these dynamics as a modest but clear edge for the sitting governor while assigning limited separation to most alternatives.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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