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icon for Paraná Governor Election Winner
Політика·Бразилія

Paraná Governor Election Winner

icon for Paraná Governor Election Winner
Політика·Бразилія

Paraná Governor Election Winner

Sergio Moro 84%

Sandro Alex 15%

Requião Filho 2.6%

Rafael Greca <1%

Polymarket

$183,009 Обс.

Sergio Moro 84%

Sandro Alex 15%

Requião Filho 2.6%

Rafael Greca <1%

Polymarket

$183,009 Обс.

Sergio Moro

$120,598 Обс.

84%

Sandro Alex

$17,236 Обс.

15%

Requião Filho

$21,465 Обс.

3%

Rafael Greca

$3,403 Обс.

<1%

Guto Silva

$3,022 Обс.

<1%

Alexandre Curi

$5,452 Обс.

<1%

Beto Richa

$2,625 Обс.

<1%

Enio Verri

$3,396 Обс.

<1%

Luiz França

$5,812 Обс.

<1%

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent polling strength ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent surveys from mid-September, including Paraná Pesquisas and AtlasIntel, place him at 44-49% of first-round intentions, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD), the latter backed by the term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior. Moro's profile as a former federal judge and current senator from the state, combined with his August party convention launch and coligation support, has driven voter recognition and expectations of a possible outright win. Traders reflect this through elevated implied probability for Moro while assigning minimal chances to trailing candidates amid stable survey trends.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$183,009
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Sergio Moro (PL) holds a commanding lead in the Paraná gubernatorial race due to consistent polling strength ahead of the October 4 first round. Recent surveys from mid-September, including Paraná Pesquisas and AtlasIntel, place him at 44-49% of first-round intentions, far ahead of Requião Filho (PDT) and Sandro Alex (PSD), the latter backed by the term-limited incumbent Ratinho Junior. Moro's profile as a former federal judge and current senator from the state, combined with his August party convention launch and coligation support, has driven voter recognition and expectations of a possible outright win. Traders reflect this through elevated implied probability for Moro while assigning minimal chances to trailing candidates amid stable survey trends.

The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The Paraná gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Обсяг
$183,009
Дата завершення
Oct 5, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jun 9, 2026, 10:21 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Paraná Governor Election Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 9 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Sergio Moro» з 84%, далі «Sandro Alex» з 15%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Paraná Governor Election Winner» згенерував $183K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jun 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Paraná Governor Election Winner», перегляньте 9 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Paraná Governor Election Winner» — «Sergio Moro» з 84%. Наступний — «Sandro Alex» з 15%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Paraná Governor Election Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.