Recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round show Lula leading with 38–42 percent and Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35 percent, leaving limited room for others. Renan Santos has seen gradual gains among younger and more anti-establishment right-leaning voters since formalizing his Mission Party candidacy in July, positioning him as an alternative to both the incumbent and Bolsonarism. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor who registered his bid in mid-August, draws from established conservative and agribusiness networks but trails in recent surveys. Romeu Zema and lower-polling figures face narrower paths amid vote fragmentation. Trader consensus on Santos for third place reflects these polling trends and niche momentum in the weeks before registration deadlines close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоRenan Santos 59%
Ronaldo Caiado 34%
Romeu Zema 5.2%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%
$538,005 Обс.
$538,005 Обс.

Renan Santos
59%

Ronaldo Caiado
34%

Romeu Zema
5%

Flávio Bolsonaro
3%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Fernando Haddad
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%
Renan Santos 59%
Ronaldo Caiado 34%
Romeu Zema 5.2%
Flávio Bolsonaro 2.9%
$538,005 Обс.
$538,005 Обс.

Renan Santos
59%

Ronaldo Caiado
34%

Romeu Zema
5%

Flávio Bolsonaro
3%

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
1%

Eduardo Bolsonaro
<1%

Ratinho Júnior
<1%

Geraldo Alckmin
<1%

Fernando Haddad
<1%

Tarcisio de Freitas
<1%

Jair Bolsonaro
<1%

Aldo Rebelo
<1%

Tereza Cristina
<1%

Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%

Camilo Santana
<1%

Eduardo Leite
<1%

Helder Barbalho
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Ринок відкрито: Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polls ahead of the October 4 first round show Lula leading with 38–42 percent and Flávio Bolsonaro at 28–35 percent, leaving limited room for others. Renan Santos has seen gradual gains among younger and more anti-establishment right-leaning voters since formalizing his Mission Party candidacy in July, positioning him as an alternative to both the incumbent and Bolsonarism. Ronaldo Caiado, the PSD nominee and former Goiás governor who registered his bid in mid-August, draws from established conservative and agribusiness networks but trails in recent surveys. Romeu Zema and lower-polling figures face narrower paths amid vote fragmentation. Trader consensus on Santos for third place reflects these polling trends and niche momentum in the weeks before registration deadlines close.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання