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icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Світ·Бразилія

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

icon for Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Світ·Бразилія

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Romeu Zema 39%

Renan Santos 35%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Flávio Bolsonaro 5.6%

Polymarket

$279,654 Обс.

Romeu Zema 39%

Renan Santos 35%

Ronaldo Caiado 18%

Flávio Bolsonaro 5.6%

Polymarket

$279,654 Обс.

icon for Romeu Zema

Romeu Zema

$10,629 Обс.

39%

icon for Renan Santos

Renan Santos

$61,950 Обс.

35%

icon for Ronaldo Caiado

Ronaldo Caiado

$16,728 Обс.

18%

icon for Flávio Bolsonaro

Flávio Bolsonaro

$7,036 Обс.

6%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$6,116 Обс.

5%

icon for Michelle Bolsonaro

Michelle Bolsonaro

$4,817 Обс.

4%

icon for Fernando Haddad

Fernando Haddad

$14,354 Обс.

4%

icon for Tereza Cristina

Tereza Cristina

$83 Обс.

2%

icon for Helder Barbalho

Helder Barbalho

$83 Обс.

2%

icon for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva

$5,267 Обс.

1%

icon for Tarcisio de Freitas

Tarcisio de Freitas

$4,328 Обс.

1%

icon for Jair Bolsonaro

Jair Bolsonaro

$4,092 Обс.

1%

icon for Geraldo Alckmin

Geraldo Alckmin

$4,260 Обс.

1%

icon for Eduardo Leite

Eduardo Leite

$2,559 Обс.

1%

icon for Eduardo Bolsonaro

Eduardo Bolsonaro

$39,622 Обс.

<1%

icon for Ratinho Júnior

Ratinho Júnior

$93,195 Обс.

<1%

icon for Aldo Rebelo

Aldo Rebelo

$4,536 Обс.

<1%

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The contest for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 presidential first round remains tightly contested among Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado because the top two spots are dominated by incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys show Lula and Bolsonaro combining for roughly 70 percent, leaving the remaining candidates with low-single-digit support and substantial undecided voters who could still shift. Zema’s established regional base in Minas Gerais and Santos’s national profile from the Free Brazil Movement give both momentum in trader pricing, while Caiado’s PSD nomination has yet to translate into broader gains. High voter indecision and the absence of major campaign events until the final stretch keep the implied probabilities for these three closely bunched, with any consolidation of right-leaning or centrist preferences likely to widen separation before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$279,654
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).The contest for third place in Brazil’s October 2026 presidential first round remains tightly contested among Romeu Zema, Renan Santos, and Ronaldo Caiado because the top two spots are dominated by incumbent Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro. Recent Genial/Quaest and Datafolha surveys show Lula and Bolsonaro combining for roughly 70 percent, leaving the remaining candidates with low-single-digit support and substantial undecided voters who could still shift. Zema’s established regional base in Minas Gerais and Santos’s national profile from the Free Brazil Movement give both momentum in trader pricing, while Caiado’s PSD nomination has yet to translate into broader gains. High voter indecision and the absence of major campaign events until the final stretch keep the implied probabilities for these three closely bunched, with any consolidation of right-leaning or centrist preferences likely to widen separation before election day.

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Обсяг
$279,654
Дата завершення
Oct 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 11, 2026, 5:40 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 17 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Romeu Zema» з 39%, далі «Renan Santos» з 35%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place» згенерував $279.7K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Feb 11, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place», перегляньте 17 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place» — «Romeu Zema» з 39%. Наступний — «Renan Santos» з 35%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.