Flávio Bolsonaro maintains a commanding lead in Roraima for first place in the October 4 first round, reflecting consistent polling dominance that reached 62% in a September Real Time survey and 52% in an earlier Quaest poll, far ahead of Lula and other registered candidates. Recent campaign stops in Boa Vista emphasized infrastructure commitments such as new roads and bridges to connect the state with Amazonas, alongside appeals to agribusiness and continuity with prior federal energy projects like the Linhão de Tucuruí. Roraima voters have shown strong preference for Liberal Party positions on regional development and reduced federal environmental constraints. While the margin leaves limited room for late shifts, potential challengers would need substantial changes in turnout patterns or unexpected national developments to alter the state outcome before election day.