**Recent revelations from a Federal Police report in the Banco Master case, including alleged messages between Justice Alexandre de Moraes and banker Daniel Vorcaro plus a large consulting contract held by Moraes’s wife’s firm, triggered media editorials and over 55 impeachment petitions in the Federal Senate.** These prompted internal STF clashes, with Justice André Mendonça releasing related materials and Moraes counter-petitioning for an investigation into Mendonça. On September 15, the STF postponed any decision on opening a probe after Justice Flávio Dino requested up to 90 days for review, likely pushing matters past the October presidential election. Removal requires a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81), Senate president agenda control, and has never occurred in the modern era; current tallies show insufficient committed support. Traders therefore assign an 82% implied probability that Moraes remains on the court through year-end, reflecting these procedural and political barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$87,593 Обс.
$87,593 Обс.
$87,593 Обс.
$87,593 Обс.
An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 9, 2026, 6:21 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...An announcement of Alexandre de Moraes's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Alexandre de Moraes and the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Вирішувач
0x65070BE91...**Recent revelations from a Federal Police report in the Banco Master case, including alleged messages between Justice Alexandre de Moraes and banker Daniel Vorcaro plus a large consulting contract held by Moraes’s wife’s firm, triggered media editorials and over 55 impeachment petitions in the Federal Senate.** These prompted internal STF clashes, with Justice André Mendonça releasing related materials and Moraes counter-petitioning for an investigation into Mendonça. On September 15, the STF postponed any decision on opening a probe after Justice Flávio Dino requested up to 90 days for review, likely pushing matters past the October presidential election. Removal requires a two-thirds Senate vote (54 of 81), Senate president agenda control, and has never occurred in the modern era; current tallies show insufficient committed support. Traders therefore assign an 82% implied probability that Moraes remains on the court through year-end, reflecting these procedural and political barriers.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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