United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the dominant incumbent party with strong organizational resources and consistent historical performance in Russian regional contests. The party secured 36 of 50 seats in 2021 and has completed candidate registration across all 25 single-member districts and the proportional list, benefiting from unified support in primaries and alignment with federal structures. Minor parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, Communists of Russia, and the Party of Pensioners trail far behind on limited polling and structural barriers. Recent events such as a September 11 drone incident damaging a local electoral commission building have not altered registration or ballot integrity. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any upset, though late shifts in turnout or federal coattails could theoretically affect seat totals without changing the winner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоUnited Russia 96.4%
LDPR <1%
New People <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
$13,285 Обс.
$13,285 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
96%
LDPR
1%
New People
1%
Party of Pensioners
1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
CPRF
<1%
A Just Russia
<1%
United Russia 96.4%
LDPR <1%
New People <1%
Party of Pensioners <1%
$13,285 Обс.
$13,285 Обс.
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$10,048 Обс.
96%
LDPR
$430 Обс.
1%
New People
$842 Обс.
1%
Party of Pensioners
$555 Обс.
1%
Communists of Russia
$659 Обс.
<1%
CPRF
$376 Обс.
<1%
A Just Russia
$376 Обс.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the dominant incumbent party with strong organizational resources and consistent historical performance in Russian regional contests. The party secured 36 of 50 seats in 2021 and has completed candidate registration across all 25 single-member districts and the proportional list, benefiting from unified support in primaries and alignment with federal structures. Minor parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, Communists of Russia, and the Party of Pensioners trail far behind on limited polling and structural barriers. Recent events such as a September 11 drone incident damaging a local electoral commission building have not altered registration or ballot integrity. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any upset, though late shifts in turnout or federal coattails could theoretically affect seat totals without changing the winner.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ET
Обсяг
$13,285Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the dominant incumbent party with strong organizational resources and consistent historical performance in Russian regional contests. The party secured 36 of 50 seats in 2021 and has completed candidate registration across all 25 single-member districts and the proportional list, benefiting from unified support in primaries and alignment with federal structures. Minor parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, Communists of Russia, and the Party of Pensioners trail far behind on limited polling and structural barriers. Recent events such as a September 11 drone incident damaging a local electoral commission building have not altered registration or ballot integrity. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any upset, though late shifts in turnout or federal coattails could theoretically affect seat totals without changing the winner.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Duma of Samara Oblast, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Duma of Samara Oblast as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Duma of Samara Oblast serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Samara Oblast and Russia, including the Election Commission of Samara Oblast and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Обсяг
$13,285Дата завершення
Sep 20, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 28, 2026, 12:20 PM ETВирішувач
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Samara Oblast Regional Duma election scheduled for 18–20 September 2026, reflecting its status as the dominant incumbent party with strong organizational resources and consistent historical performance in Russian regional contests. The party secured 36 of 50 seats in 2021 and has completed candidate registration across all 25 single-member districts and the proportional list, benefiting from unified support in primaries and alignment with federal structures. Minor parties including CPRF, LDPR, A Just Russia, New People, Communists of Russia, and the Party of Pensioners trail far behind on limited polling and structural barriers. Recent events such as a September 11 drone incident damaging a local electoral commission building have not altered registration or ballot integrity. Trader consensus assigns low probability to any upset, though late shifts in turnout or federal coattails could theoretically affect seat totals without changing the winner.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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