Republican Senate seat totals after the 2026 midterms remain tightly contested because multiple battleground races hinge on open seats and tossups in states such as North Carolina, Michigan, Maine, Ohio, and Georgia. With Republicans defending 22 of the 35 seats up for election while holding a current 53-seat majority, small shifts in voter turnout or candidate performance in these competitive districts could produce net changes of two to five seats either way. Recent primary outcomes and early polling averages show Democrats gaining ground in North Carolina’s open race and Michigan’s retirement vacancy, while Republicans maintain advantages in several red-leaning states. Traders have therefore priced probabilities across a narrow band from 47 to 52 seats, reflecting the map’s sensitivity to late-cycle developments including generic ballot trends and turnout in swing states.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$2,298,236 Обс.
$2,298,236 Обс.
≤47
26%
48
10%
49
16%
50
19%
51
16%
52
6%
53
4%
54
2%
55
1%
56
1%
57+
3%
$2,298,236 Обс.
$2,298,236 Обс.
≤47
$76,958 Обс.
26%
48
$29,873 Обс.
10%
49
$25,875 Обс.
16%
50
$79,939 Обс.
19%
51
$175,820 Обс.
16%
52
$524,305 Обс.
6%
53
$32,575 Обс.
4%
54
$728,384 Обс.
2%
55
$413,949 Обс.
1%
56
$159,133 Обс.
1%
57+
$51,425 Обс.
3%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Senate seat totals after the 2026 midterms remain tightly contested because multiple battleground races hinge on open seats and tossups in states such as North Carolina, Michigan, Maine, Ohio, and Georgia. With Republicans defending 22 of the 35 seats up for election while holding a current 53-seat majority, small shifts in voter turnout or candidate performance in these competitive districts could produce net changes of two to five seats either way. Recent primary outcomes and early polling averages show Democrats gaining ground in North Carolina’s open race and Michigan’s retirement vacancy, while Republicans maintain advantages in several red-leaning states. Traders have therefore priced probabilities across a narrow band from 47 to 52 seats, reflecting the map’s sensitivity to late-cycle developments including generic ballot trends and turnout in swing states.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,298,236Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republican Senate seat totals after the 2026 midterms remain tightly contested because multiple battleground races hinge on open seats and tossups in states such as North Carolina, Michigan, Maine, Ohio, and Georgia. With Republicans defending 22 of the 35 seats up for election while holding a current 53-seat majority, small shifts in voter turnout or candidate performance in these competitive districts could produce net changes of two to five seats either way. Recent primary outcomes and early polling averages show Democrats gaining ground in North Carolina’s open race and Michigan’s retirement vacancy, while Republicans maintain advantages in several red-leaning states. Traders have therefore priced probabilities across a narrow band from 47 to 52 seats, reflecting the map’s sensitivity to late-cycle developments including generic ballot trends and turnout in swing states.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Обсяг
$2,298,236Ринок відкрито
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Senate seat totals after the 2026 midterms remain tightly contested because multiple battleground races hinge on open seats and tossups in states such as North Carolina, Michigan, Maine, Ohio, and Georgia. With Republicans defending 22 of the 35 seats up for election while holding a current 53-seat majority, small shifts in voter turnout or candidate performance in these competitive districts could produce net changes of two to five seats either way. Recent primary outcomes and early polling averages show Democrats gaining ground in North Carolina’s open race and Michigan’s retirement vacancy, while Republicans maintain advantages in several red-leaning states. Traders have therefore priced probabilities across a narrow band from 47 to 52 seats, reflecting the map’s sensitivity to late-cycle developments including generic ballot trends and turnout in swing states.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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