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Політика·Congress

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

icon for Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
Політика·Congress

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

25% шанс
Polymarket

$112,520 Обс.

25% шанс
Polymarket

$112,520 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.Senator Mitch McConnell's February 2025 announcement that he would not seek re-election in 2026 but serve out his term ending January 3, 2027, anchors trader consensus at 75% against an early resignation, reflecting no official statements or actions indicating departure despite his advanced age of 84. Recent health developments, including a February 2026 hospitalization for flu-like symptoms from which he was discharged and cleared to work remotely, and public episodes of frailty requiring staff assistance during May Senate proceedings, introduce uncertainty but have not prompted withdrawal signals. With Kentucky's Republican primary underway for his successor and no party pressures for early exit, traders weigh historical incumbency patterns against health risks in pricing the closely contested remaining odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Обсяг
$112,520
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.Senator Mitch McConnell's February 2025 announcement that he would not seek re-election in 2026 but serve out his term ending January 3, 2027, anchors trader consensus at 75% against an early resignation, reflecting no official statements or actions indicating departure despite his advanced age of 84. Recent health developments, including a February 2026 hospitalization for flu-like symptoms from which he was discharged and cleared to work remotely, and public episodes of frailty requiring staff assistance during May Senate proceedings, introduce uncertainty but have not prompted withdrawal signals. With Kentucky's Republican primary underway for his successor and no party pressures for early exit, traders weigh historical incumbency patterns against health risks in pricing the closely contested remaining odds.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Обсяг
$112,520
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

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