Trader consensus on a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms, pricing "Yes" at 72.5%, reflects President Trump's sinking approval ratings—near record lows per recent NPR/Marist and Marist polls—as escalating U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict drives up gas prices and fuels economic discontent. Generic ballot polling averages show Democrats leading by mid-single digits nationally, bolstered by strong special election performances and a wave of GOP House retirements in vulnerable districts. Historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party amplify these trends, though Republicans hold gerrymandered advantages in key battleground states; upcoming primaries and further war developments could shift dynamics before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$42,890 Обс.
$42,890 Обс.
Nov 30, 2026
$42,890 Обс.
$42,890 Обс.
Nov 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus on a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms, pricing "Yes" at 72.5%, reflects President Trump's sinking approval ratings—near record lows per recent NPR/Marist and Marist polls—as escalating U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict drives up gas prices and fuels economic discontent. Generic ballot polling averages show Democrats leading by mid-single digits nationally, bolstered by strong special election performances and a wave of GOP House retirements in vulnerable districts. Historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party amplify these trends, though Republicans hold gerrymandered advantages in key battleground states; upcoming primaries and further war developments could shift dynamics before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Ринок відкрито: Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ET
Обсяг
$42,890Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdfTrader consensus on a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms, pricing "Yes" at 72.5%, reflects President Trump's sinking approval ratings—near record lows per recent NPR/Marist and Marist polls—as escalating U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict drives up gas prices and fuels economic discontent. Generic ballot polling averages show Democrats leading by mid-single digits nationally, bolstered by strong special election performances and a wave of GOP House retirements in vulnerable districts. Historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party amplify these trends, though Republicans hold gerrymandered advantages in key battleground states; upcoming primaries and further war developments could shift dynamics before November.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if both of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 midterm elections:
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
- Democrats hold 218 or more seats in the House
- Democrats hold 49 or more seats in the Senate
Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.
The full rules for this market can be found here:
https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/BlueWave.pdf
Обсяг
$42,890Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 13, 2026, 7:52 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on a Democratic blue wave in the 2026 midterms, pricing "Yes" at 72.5%, reflects President Trump's sinking approval ratings—near record lows per recent NPR/Marist and Marist polls—as escalating U.S. involvement in the Iran conflict drives up gas prices and fuels economic discontent. Generic ballot polling averages show Democrats leading by mid-single digits nationally, bolstered by strong special election performances and a wave of GOP House retirements in vulnerable districts. Historical midterm patterns favoring the opposition party amplify these trends, though Republicans hold gerrymandered advantages in key battleground states; upcoming primaries and further war developments could shift dynamics before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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