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icon for CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)
Політика·Проміжні семестри

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

icon for CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)
Політика·Проміжні семестри

CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket

$31,756 Обс.

Polymarket

$31,756 Обс.

Sydney Kamlager-Dove

$30,787 Обс.

95%

Samantha Mota

$970 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured first place in the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 55% of the vote in California's 37th congressional district, advancing alongside challenger Samantha Mota to the November 3 general election. The solidly Democratic district, where the incumbent previously won with 78% in 2024, features strong voter registration and turnout patterns favoring established Democratic candidates. Kamlager-Dove's substantial fundraising lead and institutional support have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 94.7% implied probability for her victory. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low general election turnout, late-breaking controversies, or health-related developments, though the two-Democrat matchup and historical margins limit realistic paths for challengers.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,756
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Sydney Kamlager-Dove secured first place in the June 2026 top-two primary with roughly 55% of the vote in California's 37th congressional district, advancing alongside challenger Samantha Mota to the November 3 general election. The solidly Democratic district, where the incumbent previously won with 78% in 2024, features strong voter registration and turnout patterns favoring established Democratic candidates. Kamlager-Dove's substantial fundraising lead and institutional support have reinforced trader consensus reflected in the 94.7% implied probability for her victory. Potential shifts could stem from unusually low general election turnout, late-breaking controversies, or health-related developments, though the two-Democrat matchup and historical margins limit realistic paths for challengers.

This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,756
Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 9, 2026, 10:11 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 2 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Sydney Kamlager-Dove» з 95%, далі «Samantha Mota» з 4%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)» згенерував $31.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Jul 9, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)», перегляньте 2 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)» — «Sydney Kamlager-Dove» з 95%. Наступний — «Samantha Mota» з 4%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CA-37 House Election Winner (Individual)» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.