Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the 2026 House race, driven by long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's unchallenged dominance after filing deadline on April 3. Lucas faces a single primary opponent, Wade Burleson, in the June 16 Republican primary, where forecasters expect an easy win amid the district's rural, conservative base spanning western Oklahoma. The Democratic field lacks a viable contender, underscoring structural barriers to a flip. While odds imply near-certainty, a primary upset, Lucas scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave could shift dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOK-03 House Election Winner
OK-03 House Election Winner
$83,444 Обс.
$83,444 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$83,444 Обс.
$83,444 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$46,081 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$37,363 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the 2026 House race, driven by long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's unchallenged dominance after filing deadline on April 3. Lucas faces a single primary opponent, Wade Burleson, in the June 16 Republican primary, where forecasters expect an easy win amid the district's rural, conservative base spanning western Oklahoma. The Democratic field lacks a viable contender, underscoring structural barriers to a flip. While odds imply near-certainty, a primary upset, Lucas scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave could shift dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$83,444Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the 2026 House race, driven by long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's unchallenged dominance after filing deadline on April 3. Lucas faces a single primary opponent, Wade Burleson, in the June 16 Republican primary, where forecasters expect an easy win amid the district's rural, conservative base spanning western Oklahoma. The Democratic field lacks a viable contender, underscoring structural barriers to a flip. While odds imply near-certainty, a primary upset, Lucas scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave could shift dynamics before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$83,444Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District, rated Solid Republican with an R+23 Cook Partisan Voting Index, anchors trader consensus at 93.5% for the Republican Party in the 2026 House race, driven by long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's unchallenged dominance after filing deadline on April 3. Lucas faces a single primary opponent, Wade Burleson, in the June 16 Republican primary, where forecasters expect an easy win amid the district's rural, conservative base spanning western Oklahoma. The Democratic field lacks a viable contender, underscoring structural barriers to a flip. While odds imply near-certainty, a primary upset, Lucas scandal, health issue, or extraordinary national midterm wave could shift dynamics before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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