South Dakota's at-large House seat remains a strong Republican hold despite the open contest following incumbent Dusty Johnson's unsuccessful bid for governor. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Jackley's statewide profile as former attorney general, underpin trader consensus around a wide margin on November 3. Limited polling and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure reinforce the current pricing. A national midterm shift favoring Democrats or an unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSD-AL House Election Winner
SD-AL House Election Winner
$28,768 Обс.
$28,768 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$28,768 Обс.
$28,768 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,079 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$7,688 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat remains a strong Republican hold despite the open contest following incumbent Dusty Johnson's unsuccessful bid for governor. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Jackley's statewide profile as former attorney general, underpin trader consensus around a wide margin on November 3. Limited polling and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure reinforce the current pricing. A national midterm shift favoring Democrats or an unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,768Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Dakota's at-large House seat remains a strong Republican hold despite the open contest following incumbent Dusty Johnson's unsuccessful bid for governor. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Jackley's statewide profile as former attorney general, underpin trader consensus around a wide margin on November 3. Limited polling and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure reinforce the current pricing. A national midterm shift favoring Democrats or an unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SD-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,768Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Dakota's at-large House seat remains a strong Republican hold despite the open contest following incumbent Dusty Johnson's unsuccessful bid for governor. Marty Jackley secured the GOP nomination with nearly 80 percent in the June 2026 primary, while Democrat Nikki Gronli advanced unopposed. The state's consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Jackley's statewide profile as former attorney general, underpin trader consensus around a wide margin on November 3. Limited polling and the absence of competitive Democratic infrastructure reinforce the current pricing. A national midterm shift favoring Democrats or an unforeseen candidate-specific development could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability factors at this stage.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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