Traders price Republicans at 93.6% to win Wyoming's open At-Large House seat due to the state's entrenched GOP dominance, with Republican voter registration at about 53% versus 10% for Democrats and historical general election margins exceeding 40 points, as seen in recent cycles. Incumbent Harriet Hageman is vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, sparking a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring over 10 candidates including Jillian Balow, while no prominent Democratic challengers have emerged ahead of the May filing deadline. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low Democratic viability absent a fractured GOP nominee, major scandal, or national wave flipping deep-red terrain before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWY-AL House Election Winner
WY-AL House Election Winner
$26,889 Обс.
$26,889 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
4%
$26,889 Обс.
$26,889 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$16,375 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$10,514 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Traders price Republicans at 93.6% to win Wyoming's open At-Large House seat due to the state's entrenched GOP dominance, with Republican voter registration at about 53% versus 10% for Democrats and historical general election margins exceeding 40 points, as seen in recent cycles. Incumbent Harriet Hageman is vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, sparking a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring over 10 candidates including Jillian Balow, while no prominent Democratic challengers have emerged ahead of the May filing deadline. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low Democratic viability absent a fractured GOP nominee, major scandal, or national wave flipping deep-red terrain before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,889Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Traders price Republicans at 93.6% to win Wyoming's open At-Large House seat due to the state's entrenched GOP dominance, with Republican voter registration at about 53% versus 10% for Democrats and historical general election margins exceeding 40 points, as seen in recent cycles. Incumbent Harriet Hageman is vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, sparking a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring over 10 candidates including Jillian Balow, while no prominent Democratic challengers have emerged ahead of the May filing deadline. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low Democratic viability absent a fractured GOP nominee, major scandal, or national wave flipping deep-red terrain before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WY-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,889Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Traders price Republicans at 93.6% to win Wyoming's open At-Large House seat due to the state's entrenched GOP dominance, with Republican voter registration at about 53% versus 10% for Democrats and historical general election margins exceeding 40 points, as seen in recent cycles. Incumbent Harriet Hageman is vacating for a U.S. Senate bid, sparking a crowded Republican primary on August 18 featuring over 10 candidates including Jillian Balow, while no prominent Democratic challengers have emerged ahead of the May filing deadline. This skin-in-the-game consensus underscores low Democratic viability absent a fractured GOP nominee, major scandal, or national wave flipping deep-red terrain before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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